These were our chances before kick-off.
Manchester United vs Manchester City: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Manchester United vs Manchester City?
Premier League, Sun 13 Sept, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City.
Full time: Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Manchester United to score 1.40 goals and Manchester City 1.71. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | 2.69 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Manchester United v Manchester City | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.9% | 8.42 |
| 1–2 | 9.1% | 10.94 |
| 2–1 | 7.5% | 13.40 |
| 0–2 | 6.6% | 15.27 |
| 0–1 | 6.5% | 15.43 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United or draw | 56% | 1.78 |
| Manchester City or draw | 70% | 1.43 |
| Manchester United or Manchester City (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| Manchester United, draw no bet | 41% | 2.45 |
| Manchester City, draw no bet | 59% | 1.69 |
League position
In the table, Manchester United are in position 13 of 20 with 4 points, and Manchester City in position 2 with 9.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Manchester United vs Manchester City played out
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Common questions
Who won Manchester United vs Manchester City?
Manchester City won 1–0 away at Manchester United (Premier League, Sun 13 Sept, 17:30 UK time).
When was Manchester United vs Manchester City played?
Premier League, kick-off Sun 13 Sept, 17:30 UK time.