Newcastle United v LiverpoolPremier League · Sun 23 Aug, 17:30
Full time 2-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Newcastle United vs Liverpool: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Newcastle United vs Liverpool?
Premier League, Sun 23 Aug, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: Newcastle United 2-2 Liverpool.
Full time: Newcastle United 2-2 Liverpool. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Newcastle United to score 1.57 goals and Liverpool 1.64. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | 2.85 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Newcastle United v Liverpool | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.5% | 8.70 |
| 1–2 | 8.5% | 11.71 |
| 2–1 | 8.1% | 12.29 |
| 2–2 | 6.7% | 14.95 |
| 0–1 | 5.5% | 18.08 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United or draw | 61% | 1.64 |
| Liverpool or draw | 64% | 1.55 |
| Newcastle United or Liverpool (no draw) | 74% | 1.34 |
| Newcastle United, draw no bet | 48% | 2.09 |
| Liverpool, draw no bet | 52% | 1.92 |
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Newcastle United vs Liverpool played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
0Newcastle
5Draws
14Liverpool
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Newcastle United vs Liverpool?
Nobody: Newcastle United and Liverpool drew 2–2 (Premier League, Sun 23 Aug, 17:30 UK time).
When was Newcastle United vs Liverpool played?
Premier League, kick-off Sun 23 Aug, 17:30 UK time.
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