Nottingham Forest v ArsenalPremier League · Sun 18 Oct, 16:30
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser17'
Neco WilliamsYellow card
Half time0–0
53'
Noni MaduekeYellow card
80'
Noni Madueke0–1 · Declan Rice
Full time0–1
Key stats
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Premier League, Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 (UK time). Full time: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal.
Full time: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Nottingham Forest to score 0.88 goals and Arsenal 1.61. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | 2.09 |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | 1.92 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.16 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Nottingham Forest v Arsenal | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.0% | 7.72 |
| 0–1 | 12.2% | 8.22 |
| 0–2 | 10.8% | 9.26 |
| 0–0 | 9.5% | 10.50 |
| 1–2 | 9.5% | 10.57 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest or draw | 50% | 2.02 |
| Arsenal or draw | 78% | 1.28 |
| Nottingham Forest or Arsenal (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Nottingham Forest, draw no bet | 30% | 3.33 |
| Arsenal, draw no bet | 70% | 1.43 |
League position
Nottingham Forest18of 20, 5 points from 6 games
Arsenal3of 20, 15 points from 6 games
In the table, Nottingham Forest are in position 18 of 20 with 5 points, and Arsenal in position 3 with 15.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Nottingham Forest
Matz SelsGOusmane DiomandeCDMurilloCD-LJair PaulaCD-RXaver SchlagerCM-LJames McAteeCM-RNeco WilliamsLMDaniel MuñozRMLiam DelapFDan NdoyeCF-LNicolás DomínguezCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Noni MaduekeOn for Eberechi Eze
66'
Jurriën TimberOn for Ben White
66'
Viktor GyökeresOn for Kai Havertz
66'
Mikel MerinoOn for Bruno Guimarães
73'
Arnaud KalimuendoOn for Dan Ndoye
74'
Ibrahim SangaréOn for Nicolás Domínguez
85'
Chris WoodOn for Jair Paula
85'
Callum Hudson-OdoiOn for James McAtee
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2022
1Nottm Forest
2Draws
6Arsenal
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Arsenal won 1–0 away at Nottingham Forest (Premier League, Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Arsenal.
When was Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal played?
Premier League, kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 UK time.
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