Nottingham Forest v Manchester CityPremier League · Sat 7 Nov, 17:30
Full time 3-1These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Manchester City, lost.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: result and prediction
Premier LeagueSaturday 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK timeVenue The City GroundReferee S BarrottAttendance 30,762
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser6'
Jair Cunha1–0
18'
Liam Delap2–0 · Xaver Schlager
Half time2–0
52'
Rayan Cherki2–1
64'
James McAteeYellow card
69'
Dan NdoyeYellow card
73'
Liam Delap3–1 · Morgan Gibbs-White
90'+4'
Luca NetzYellow card
90'+5'
Igor JesusYellow card
Full time3–1
Key stats
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Premier League, Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: Nottingham Forest 3-1 Manchester City.
Full time: Nottingham Forest 3-1 Manchester City. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Nottingham Forest to score 1.04 goals and Manchester City 1.68. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.43 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Nottingham Forest v Manchester City | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.4% | 8.08 |
| 0–1 | 10.1% | 9.87 |
| 1–2 | 9.7% | 10.34 |
| 0–2 | 9.3% | 10.81 |
| 0–0 | 7.4% | 13.46 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest or draw | 44% | 2.27 |
| Manchester City or draw | 81% | 1.24 |
| Nottingham Forest or Manchester City (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| Nottingham Forest, draw no bet | 26% | 3.88 |
| Manchester City, draw no bet | 74% | 1.35 |
League position
Nottingham Forest19of 20, 6 points from 9 games
Manchester City2of 20, 21 points from 9 games
In the table, Nottingham Forest are in position 19 of 20 with 6 points, and Manchester City in position 2 with 21.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Nottingham Forest
Matz SelsGNikola MilenkovicCDMurilloCD-L
SubstitutesJair CunhaCD-R
Ryan YatesCM-LXaver SchlagerCM-RNeco WilliamsLMDaniel MuñozRMLiam DelapFMorgan Gibbs-WhiteCF-LJames McAteeCF-R
Substitutions
45'
Nico O'ReillyOn for Josko Gvardiol
45'
Matheus NunesOn for Marc Guéhi
65'
Dan NdoyeOn for James McAtee
65'
Luca NetzOn for Daniel Muñoz
78'
Phil FodenOn for Enzo Fernández
79'
Ibrahim SangaréOn for Ryan Yates
87'
Igor JesusOn for Liam Delap
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2022
2Nottm Forest
2Draws
5Man City
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Nottingham Forest won 3–1 against Manchester City (Premier League, Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 UK time).
When was Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City played?
Premier League, kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 UK time.
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