Alverca v Casa PiaPrimeira Liga · Sat 7 Nov, 18:00
Full time 1-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Alverca vs Casa Pia: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser22'
Ian LuccasYellow card
25'
Pedro RosasYellow card
36'
Silvi Clua0–1 · Henrique Araújo
40'
Davy GuiYellow card
Half time0–1
48'
ChiquinhoYellow card
66'
Ian Luccas1–1 · Chiquinho
Full time1–1
Key stats
Who will win Alverca vs Casa Pia?
Primeira Liga, Sat 7 Nov, 18:00 (UK time). Full time: Alverca 1-1 Casa Pia.
Full time: Alverca 1-1 Casa Pia. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Alverca to score 1.61 goals and Casa Pia 0.89. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | 2.17 |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Alverca v Casa Pia | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 14.4% | 6.96 |
| 2–0 | 10.7% | 9.38 |
| 1–1 | 10.6% | 9.42 |
| 2–1 | 9.5% | 10.56 |
| 0–1 | 8.4% | 11.88 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Alverca or draw | 78% | 1.28 |
| Casa Pia or draw | 44% | 2.25 |
| Alverca or Casa Pia (no draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| Alverca, draw no bet | 72% | 1.39 |
| Casa Pia, draw no bet | 28% | 3.55 |
League position
Alverca11of 18, 11 points from 10 games
Casa Pia17of 18, 7 points from 10 games
In the table, Alverca are in position 11 of 18 with 11 points, and Casa Pia in position 17 with 7.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Alverca vs Casa Pia played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Alverca
Matheus MendesGSergi GómezCDIsaac JamesCD-LYahya BojangCD-RDavy GuiCM-LIan LuccasCM-RChissumbaLMDiogo SpencerRMDawda CamaraFLucas FigueiredoCF-LChiquinhoCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
55'
Mohamed Salah El BoukammiriOn for Jeremy Livolant
57'
André VidigalOn for Chissumba
58'
Rayan LucasOn for Davy Gui
67'
Vivaldo SemedoOn for Dawda Camara
67'
Matheus FrançaOn for Lucas Figueiredo
71'
RochinhaOn for Benjamin Pauwels
72'
Lawrence OforiOn for Silvi Clua
82'
CassianoOn for Henrique Araújo
82'
Cédric NuozziOn for Chiquinho
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2025
2Alverca
1Draws
0Casa Pia
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Alverca vs Casa Pia?
Nobody: Alverca and Casa Pia drew 1–1 (Primeira Liga, Sat 7 Nov, 18:00 UK time).
When was Alverca vs Casa Pia played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 18:00 UK time.
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