Alverca v Estrela AmadoraPrimeira Liga · Sat 15 Aug, 16:30
Full time 2-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Alverca vs Estrela Amadora: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?
Primeira Liga, Sat 15 Aug, 16:30 (UK time). Full time: Alverca 2-2 Estrela Amadora.
Full time: Alverca 2-2 Estrela Amadora. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Alverca to score 1.42 goals and Estrela Amadora 1.08. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 2.02 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 1.98 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.11 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Alverca v Estrela Amadora | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 12.2% | 8.18 |
| 1–1 | 12.0% | 8.36 |
| 0–1 | 9.5% | 10.55 |
| 2–1 | 8.9% | 11.19 |
| 2–0 | 8.2% | 12.14 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Alverca or draw | 71% | 1.42 |
| Estrela Amadora or draw | 55% | 1.83 |
| Alverca or Estrela Amadora (no draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| Alverca, draw no bet | 61% | 1.65 |
| Estrela Amadora, draw no bet | 39% | 2.54 |
League position
Alverca18of 18, 0 points from 1 games
Estrela Amadora7of 18, 1 point from 1 games
In the table, Alverca are in position 18 of 18 with 0 points, and Estrela Amadora in position 7 with 1.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Alverca vs Estrela Amadora played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2025
0Alverca
3Draws
0Estrela Amadora
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Academico Viseu vs Alverca
Sat 28 Nov, 18:00. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?
Nobody: Alverca and Estrela Amadora drew 2–2 (Primeira Liga, Sat 15 Aug, 16:30 UK time).
When was Alverca vs Estrela Amadora played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sat 15 Aug, 16:30 UK time.
More matches
Primeira Liga18:00Academico ViseuAlverca
Primeira Liga20:30Vitoria GuimaraesEstrela Amadora
Primeira LigaFull timeAcademico Viseu0Santa Clara1
Primeira LigaFull timeRio Ave0FC Porto2Germany Bundesliga Women11:00TSG Hoffenheim WomenSC Freiburg Women11.74X3.6823.65
League Two12:30Exeter CityCheltenham Town11.85X3.5023.83
France Coupe De France13:00FC VersaillesRodez
France Coupe De France13:00TourcoingStade de Reims123.00X9.5021.06
