Alverca v Rio AvePrimeira Liga · Sat 19 Sept, 19:00
Full time 1-0These were our chances before kick-off.
Alverca vs Rio Ave: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Alverca vs Rio Ave?
Primeira Liga, Sat 19 Sept, 19:00 (UK time). Full time: Alverca 1-0 Rio Ave.
Full time: Alverca 1-0 Rio Ave. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Alverca to score 1.60 goals and Rio Ave 1.08. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.53 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Alverca v Rio Ave | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 11.4% | 8.76 |
| 1–1 | 11.3% | 8.83 |
| 2–1 | 9.5% | 10.55 |
| 2–0 | 8.8% | 11.43 |
| 0–1 | 7.9% | 12.69 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Alverca or draw | 74% | 1.35 |
| Rio Ave or draw | 50% | 2.00 |
| Alverca or Rio Ave (no draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| Alverca, draw no bet | 66% | 1.52 |
| Rio Ave, draw no bet | 34% | 2.91 |
League position
Alverca13of 18, 5 points from 6 games
Rio Ave16of 18, 4 points from 6 games
In the table, Alverca are in position 13 of 18 with 5 points, and Rio Ave in position 16 with 4.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Alverca vs Rio Ave played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2025
2Alverca
1Draws
0Rio Ave
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Alverca vs Rio Ave?
Alverca won 1–0 against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga, Sat 19 Sept, 19:00 UK time).
When was Alverca vs Rio Ave played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sat 19 Sept, 19:00 UK time.
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