Arouca v Estrela AmadoraPrimeira Liga · Sun 11 Oct, 21:30
Full time 1-0These were our chances before kick-off.
Arouca vs Estrela Amadora: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser5'
Ivan Martínez1–0 · Näis Djouahra
45'+4'
Ianis Stoica1–0 · Penalty - Missed
45'+6'
Pablo GozálbezYellow card
45'+8'
Ivan MartínezYellow card
45'+8'
Abraham MarcusYellow card
Half time1–0
50'
Max ScholzeYellow card
62'
Pedro SantosYellow card
81'
Taichi FukuiYellow card
88'
José FontánYellow card
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Arouca vs Estrela Amadora?
Primeira Liga, Sun 11 Oct, 21:30 (UK time). Full time: Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora.
Full time: Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Arouca to score 1.65 goals and Estrela Amadora 1.20. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.13 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Arouca v Estrela Amadora | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.2% | 8.95 |
| 1–0 | 9.8% | 10.16 |
| 2–1 | 9.5% | 10.57 |
| 2–0 | 7.9% | 12.64 |
| 0–1 | 7.2% | 13.89 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arouca or draw | 72% | 1.39 |
| Estrela Amadora or draw | 52% | 1.93 |
| Arouca or Estrela Amadora (no draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| Arouca, draw no bet | 63% | 1.58 |
| Estrela Amadora, draw no bet | 37% | 2.73 |
League position
Arouca6of 18, 11 points from 7 games
Estrela Amadora9of 18, 10 points from 7 games
In the table, Arouca are in position 6 of 18 with 11 points, and Estrela Amadora in position 9 with 10.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Arouca vs Estrela Amadora played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Arouca
Ignacio De ArruabarrenaGJosé FontánCD-LJavi SánchezCD-ROrest LebedenkoLBTiago EsgaioRBPablo GozálbezAMTaichi FukuiLMEspen Van EeRMIvan MartínezFNäis DjouahraAM-LAlfonso TrezzaAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
57'
Pedro SantosOn for Pablo Gozálbez
61'
BénitoOn for Ianis Stoica
62'
Jefferson EncadaOn for Max Scholze
65'
Dylan NandínOn for Ivan Martínez
65'
Gabrijel RukavinaOn for Näis Djouahra
79'
Lee Hyun-JuOn for Taichi Fukui
80'
Brian MansillaOn for Alfonso Trezza
82'
Emerson VangaOn for Eddy Doué
90'+1'
Alisson SouzaOn for Lovro Zvonarek
90'+1'
Kevin Höög JanssonOn for Santiago Serra
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2023
4Arouca
1Draws
2Estrela Amadora
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Arouca vs Rio Ave
Sat 28 Nov, 15:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Arouca vs Estrela Amadora?
Arouca won 1–0 against Estrela Amadora (Primeira Liga, Sun 11 Oct, 21:30 UK time).
When was Arouca vs Estrela Amadora played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 21:30 UK time.
More matches
Primeira Liga15:30AroucaRio AvePrimeira Liga20:30Vitoria GuimaraesEstrela Amadora
Primeira LigaFull timeRio Ave3Nacional2
Primeira LigaFull timeSL Benfica2Vitoria Guimaraes0
UEFA Nations League17:00MoldovaKazakhstan12.65X2.9022.85Germany Bundesliga Women17:30Hamburger SV WomenMainz 05 Women11.58X3.8024.30
France Coupe De France19:00DijonOrleans11.51X4.2025.30
France Coupe De France19:00US St Philbert De GrandlieuVFC La Roche-sur-Yon18.50X5.8021.25
