Arouca v MoreirensePrimeira Liga · Sun 16 Aug, 19:00
Full time 4-0These were our chances before kick-off.
Arouca vs Moreirense: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Arouca vs Moreirense?
Primeira Liga, Sun 16 Aug, 19:00 (UK time). Full time: Arouca 4-0 Moreirense.
Full time: Arouca 4-0 Moreirense. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Arouca to score 1.49 goals and Moreirense 1.07. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 2.01 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.92 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Arouca v Moreirense | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 12.1% | 8.24 |
| 1–1 | 11.7% | 8.54 |
| 2–1 | 9.2% | 10.88 |
| 0–1 | 8.9% | 11.26 |
| 2–0 | 8.6% | 11.64 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arouca or draw | 72% | 1.38 |
| Moreirense or draw | 52% | 1.91 |
| Arouca or Moreirense (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| Arouca, draw no bet | 63% | 1.58 |
| Moreirense, draw no bet | 37% | 2.71 |
League position
Arouca5of 18, 3 points from 1 games
Moreirense9of 18, 1 point from 1 games
In the table, Arouca are in position 5 of 18 with 3 points, and Moreirense in position 9 with 1.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Arouca vs Moreirense played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2021
3Arouca
1Draws
5Moreirense
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Arouca vs Moreirense?
Arouca won 4–0 against Moreirense (Primeira Liga, Sun 16 Aug, 19:00 UK time).
When was Arouca vs Moreirense played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sun 16 Aug, 19:00 UK time.
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