These were our chances before kick-off.
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
Primeira Liga, Sat 10 Oct, 21:30 (UK time). Full time: Casa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara.
Full time: Casa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Casa Pia to score 0.79 goals and Santa Clara 1.33. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | 2.52 |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | 1.66 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.82 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.07 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Casa Pia v Santa Clara | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 16.3% | 6.13 |
| 1–1 | 12.3% | 8.14 |
| 0–0 | 11.7% | 8.53 |
| 0–2 | 10.7% | 9.37 |
| 1–0 | 9.8% | 10.26 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia or draw | 50% | 2.00 |
| Santa Clara or draw | 78% | 1.29 |
| Casa Pia or Santa Clara (no draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| Casa Pia, draw no bet | 31% | 3.23 |
| Santa Clara, draw no bet | 69% | 1.45 |
League position
In the table, Casa Pia are in position 17 of 18 with 4 points, and Santa Clara in position 4 with 15.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Casa Pia vs Santa Clara played out
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Head to head
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Common questions
Who won Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
Santa Clara won 1–0 away at Casa Pia (Primeira Liga, Sat 10 Oct, 21:30 UK time).
When was Casa Pia vs Santa Clara played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 21:30 UK time.