Estoril v Casa PiaPrimeira Liga · Sun 20 Sept, 19:00
Full time 1-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Estoril vs Casa Pia: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Estoril vs Casa Pia?
Primeira Liga, Sun 20 Sept, 19:00 (UK time). Full time: Estoril 1-2 Casa Pia.
Full time: Estoril 1-2 Casa Pia. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Estoril to score 1.75 goals and Casa Pia 0.90. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | 2.07 |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | 1.94 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.64 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Estoril v Casa Pia | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 12.9% | 7.76 |
| 2–0 | 10.9% | 9.19 |
| 1–1 | 10.6% | 9.40 |
| 2–1 | 9.7% | 10.27 |
| 0–1 | 6.8% | 14.68 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Estoril or draw | 81% | 1.24 |
| Casa Pia or draw | 42% | 2.39 |
| Estoril or Casa Pia (no draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| Estoril, draw no bet | 75% | 1.33 |
| Casa Pia, draw no bet | 25% | 3.99 |
League position
Estoril17of 18, 2 points from 6 games
Casa Pia18of 18, 1 point from 6 games
In the table, Estoril are in position 17 of 18 with 2 points, and Casa Pia in position 18 with 1.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Estoril vs Casa Pia played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2023
3Estoril
4Draws
2Casa Pia
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Estoril vs Casa Pia?
Casa Pia won 2–1 away at Estoril (Primeira Liga, Sun 20 Sept, 19:00 UK time).
When was Estoril vs Casa Pia played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sun 20 Sept, 19:00 UK time.
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