Estoril v MoreirensePrimeira Liga · Sun 25 Oct, 15:30
Full time 1-3These were our chances before kick-off.
Estoril vs Moreirense: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser12'
15'
23'
Nail OmerovicYellow card
27'
Antef TsounguiYellow card
28'
Nile John0–3
Half time0–3
90'
Gilberto BatistaYellow card
90'+2'
André LacximicantYellow card
90'+4'
Peixinho1–3
Full time1–3
Key stats
Who will win Estoril vs Moreirense?
Primeira Liga, Sun 25 Oct, 15:30 (UK time). Full time: Estoril 1-3 Moreirense.
Full time: Estoril 1-3 Moreirense. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Estoril to score 1.59 goals and Moreirense 1.07. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.59 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Estoril v Moreirense | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 11.8% | 8.51 |
| 1–1 | 11.2% | 8.92 |
| 2–1 | 9.5% | 10.56 |
| 2–0 | 8.8% | 11.33 |
| 0–1 | 8.1% | 12.30 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Estoril or draw | 74% | 1.36 |
| Moreirense or draw | 50% | 2.01 |
| Estoril or Moreirense (no draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| Estoril, draw no bet | 66% | 1.52 |
| Moreirense, draw no bet | 34% | 2.91 |
League position
Estoril18of 18, 2 points from 8 games
Moreirense12of 18, 8 points from 8 games
In the table, Estoril are in position 18 of 18 with 2 points, and Moreirense in position 12 with 8.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Estoril vs Moreirense played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Estoril
Joel RoblesGXavier SintesCD-LFerroCD-RRoko JurišicLBRicard SánchezRBJordan HolsgroveCMJoão CarvalhoLMAntef TsounguiRMAxel CamblanFNail OmerovicLFRafik GuitaneRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
André LacximicantOn for Nail Omerovic
45'
Pedro CarvalhoOn for Ricard Sánchez
58'
PeixinhoOn for João Carvalho
58'
Fernando MedranoOn for Axel Camblan
59'
Rodri AlonsoOn for Manuel Mendonça
69'
LandersonOn for Nile John
69'
XekaOn for Antef Tsoungui
69'
Mateja StjepanovicOn for Kiko Bondoso
80'
Álvaro MartínezOn for Tiago Andrade
81'
Yan MaranhãoOn for Leonardo Vonic
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 11 meetings since 2017
2Estoril
3Draws
6Moreirense
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Moreirense vs Santa Clara
Sat 28 Nov, 15:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Estoril vs Moreirense?
Moreirense won 3–1 away at Estoril (Primeira Liga, Sun 25 Oct, 15:30 UK time).
When was Estoril vs Moreirense played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 15:30 UK time.
More matches
Primeira Liga15:30MoreirenseSanta Clara
Primeira Liga18:00Gil VicenteEstoril
France Coupe De FranceLiveFCO Firminy0Annecy0123.00X11.5021.13
France Coupe De FranceLiveIC Croix0Thaon011.96X3.6524.54
UEFA Nations LeagueHTNorway0Wales011.31X7.20211.00
UEFA Nations LeagueHTGeorgia0Hungary013.80X3.4022.28
League Two28'Fleetwood Town0Tranmere Rovers012.02X3.7024.20Segunda División28'Almeria1FC Andorra011.90X3.8524.76
