Estrela Amadora v Casa PiaPrimeira Liga · Sat 24 Oct, 16:30
Full time 0-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser31'
João Rêgo0–1 · Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
Half time0–1
68'
Patrick SequeiraYellow card
90'+2'
Lawrence Ofori0–2 · Henrique Araújo
90'+4'
Jefferson EncadaYellow card
90'+4'
Pedro RosasYellow card
Full time0–2
Key stats
Who will win Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?
Primeira Liga, Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 (UK time). Full time: Estrela Amadora 0-2 Casa Pia.
Full time: Estrela Amadora 0-2 Casa Pia. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Estrela Amadora to score 1.54 goals and Casa Pia 0.98. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | 1.94 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.04 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 13.0% | 7.67 |
| 1–1 | 11.5% | 8.73 |
| 2–0 | 9.5% | 10.53 |
| 2–1 | 9.4% | 10.70 |
| 0–1 | 8.6% | 11.66 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora or draw | 75% | 1.33 |
| Casa Pia or draw | 49% | 2.04 |
| Estrela Amadora or Casa Pia (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Estrela Amadora, draw no bet | 67% | 1.49 |
| Casa Pia, draw no bet | 33% | 3.05 |
League position
Estrela Amadora10of 18, 10 points from 8 games
Casa Pia17of 18, 4 points from 8 games
In the table, Estrela Amadora are in position 10 of 18 with 10 points, and Casa Pia in position 17 with 4.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Estrela Amadora
Leo LinckGStefan LekovicCD-LLuan PatrickCD-RRafa SoaresLBMax ScholzeRBEddy DouéCM-LLovro ZvonarekCM-RSantiago SerraAMIanis StoicaLMAbraham MarcusRMLeandro AntonettiF
Substitutes
Substitutions
60'
Henrique AraújoOn for Cassiano
60'
Jeremy LivolantOn for Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
61'
BénitoOn for Ianis Stoica
61'
Lucas MincarelliOn for Rafa Soares
72'
Jefferson EncadaOn for Max Scholze
72'
Tom MoustierOn for Lovro Zvonarek
78'
Gabi PereiraOn for João Rêgo
78'
Silvi CluaOn for Sebastián Pérez
83'
Alisson SouzaOn for Eddy Doué
83'
Kevin PrietoOn for Benjamin Pauwels
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2023
4Estrela Amadora
0Draws
3Casa Pia
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?
Casa Pia won 2–0 away at Estrela Amadora (Primeira Liga, Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 UK time).
When was Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 UK time.
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