These were our chances before kick-off.
Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica: result and prediction
- Zvonarek 48'
- Antonetti 76'
- Prestianni 26'
- Schappo 68' (og)
- Pavlidis 90'+4'
Odds at kick-off
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica?
Primeira Liga, Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 (UK time). Full time: Estrela Amadora 2-3 SL Benfica.
Full time: Estrela Amadora 2-3 SL Benfica. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Estrela Amadora to score 0.84 goals and SL Benfica 2.57. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Estrela Amadora v SL Benfica | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 10.9% | 9.14 |
| 0–3 | 9.4% | 10.66 |
| 0–1 | 9.2% | 10.89 |
| 1–2 | 9.2% | 10.93 |
| 1–3 | 7.9% | 12.74 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora or draw | 25% | 4.08 |
| SL Benfica or draw | 89% | 1.12 |
| Estrela Amadora or SL Benfica (no draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| Estrela Amadora, draw no bet | 12% | 8.11 |
| SL Benfica, draw no bet | 88% | 1.14 |
League position
In the table, Estrela Amadora are in position 12 of 18 with 10 points, and SL Benfica in position 2 with 25.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Odds at kick-off
The last prices each bookmaker quoted before the start. BAI8 is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.
How Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Substitutions
Form
Head to head
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Next up: Viktoria Plzeň vs SL Benfica
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Common questions
Who won Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica?
SL Benfica won 3–2 away at Estrela Amadora (Primeira Liga, Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 UK time).
When was Estrela Amadora vs SL Benfica played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 UK time.