Famalicão v AroucaPrimeira Liga · Fri 6 Nov, 20:45
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Famalicão vs Arouca: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser45'
Javi SánchezYellow card
Half time0–0
55'
Pedro SantosYellow card
77'
Óscar ArandaYellow card
85'
Espen Van EeYellow card
90'
José FontánYellow card
90'+6'
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Famalicão vs Arouca?
Primeira Liga, Fri 6 Nov, 20:45 (UK time). Full time: Famalicão 1-0 Arouca.
Full time: Famalicão 1-0 Arouca. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Famalicão to score 1.36 goals and Arouca 1.03. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | 2.14 |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | 1.87 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.55 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Famalicão v Arouca | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 13.7% | 7.32 |
| 1–1 | 11.6% | 8.62 |
| 0–1 | 10.7% | 9.38 |
| 2–1 | 8.7% | 11.45 |
| 2–0 | 8.5% | 11.83 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Famalicão or draw | 71% | 1.41 |
| Arouca or draw | 56% | 1.77 |
| Famalicão or Arouca (no draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| Famalicão, draw no bet | 60% | 1.66 |
| Arouca, draw no bet | 40% | 2.51 |
League position
Famalicão11of 18, 10 points from 10 games
Arouca5of 18, 20 points from 10 games
In the table, Famalicão are in position 11 of 18 with 10 points, and Arouca in position 5 with 20.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Famalicao vs Arouca played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Famalicao
Lazar CarevicGFinn van BreemenCD-LVíctor RofinoCD-RPedro BondoLBGustavo GarciaRBPedro SantosAMMathias De AmorimLMTom van de LooiRMGeorgios KoutsiasFSorrisoAM-LRoméo BeneyAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
56'
Brian MansillaOn for Alfonso Trezza
56'
Pablo GozálbezOn for Mateo Flores
66'
Paulo MoreiraOn for Sorriso
66'
Óscar ArandaOn for Pedro Santos
69'
Dylan NandínOn for Iván Martínez
74'
Gil DiasOn for Roméo Beney
74'
Patricio SalasOn for Georgios Koutsias
77'
Gabrijel RukavinaOn for Näis Djouahra
78'
Lee Hyun-JuOn for Taichi Fukui
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 11 meetings since 2021
4Famalicao
3Draws
4Arouca
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Famalicão vs Arouca?
Famalicão won 1–0 against Arouca (Primeira Liga, Fri 6 Nov, 20:45 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Famalicão vs Arouca?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Famalicão.
When was Famalicão vs Arouca played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Fri 6 Nov, 20:45 UK time.
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