Moreirense v Estrela AmadoraPrimeira Liga · Sat 31 Oct, 15:30
Full time 2-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser19'
Santiago SerraYellow card
Half time0–0
50'
Landerson1–0 · Manuel Mendonça
57'
90'+5'
Nile John2–1 · Tiago Andrade
Full time2–1
Key stats
Who will win Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora?
Primeira Liga, Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 (UK time). Full time: Moreirense 2-1 Estrela Amadora.
Full time: Moreirense 2-1 Estrela Amadora. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Moreirense to score 1.33 goals and Estrela Amadora 1.26. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.80 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Moreirense v Estrela Amadora | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.4% | 8.75 |
| 1–0 | 11.1% | 9.05 |
| 0–1 | 10.6% | 9.47 |
| 2–1 | 8.4% | 11.96 |
| 1–2 | 7.9% | 12.59 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Moreirense or draw | 64% | 1.57 |
| Estrela Amadora or draw | 61% | 1.65 |
| Moreirense or Estrela Amadora (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Moreirense, draw no bet | 52% | 1.92 |
| Estrela Amadora, draw no bet | 48% | 2.09 |
League position
Moreirense10of 18, 11 points from 9 games
Estrela Amadora12of 18, 10 points from 9 games
In the table, Moreirense are in position 10 of 18 with 11 points, and Estrela Amadora in position 12 with 10.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Moreirense
André FerreiraGKevynCD-LGilberto BatistaCD-RKikoLBDinis PintoRBManuel MendonçaAMGuilherme LiberatoLMNile JohnRMLeonardo VonicFTiago AndradeAM-LLandersonAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
36'
Álvaro MartínezOn for Kiko
68'
Jefferson EncadaOn for Ianis Stoica
68'
Songa ChipyokaOn for Landerson
68'
Yan MaranhãoOn for Leonardo Vonic
79'
Rodri AlonsoOn for Manuel Mendonça
83'
Tom MoustierOn for Kevin Höög Jansson
83'
Rafa SoaresOn for Lucas Mincarelli
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2023
3Moreirense
3Draws
1Estrela Amadora
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora?
Moreirense won 2–1 against Estrela Amadora (Primeira Liga, Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 UK time).
When was Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 UK time.
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