Nacional v Estrela AmadoraPrimeira Liga · Sun 30 Aug, 16:30
Full time 2-3These were our chances before kick-off.
Nacional vs Estrela Amadora: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?
Primeira Liga, Sun 30 Aug, 16:30 (UK time). Full time: Nacional 2-3 Estrela Amadora.
Full time: Nacional 2-3 Estrela Amadora. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Nacional to score 1.52 goals and Estrela Amadora 1.16. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.55 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Nacional v Estrela Amadora | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 11.4% | 8.81 |
| 1–1 | 11.2% | 8.97 |
| 2–1 | 9.2% | 10.89 |
| 0–1 | 8.9% | 11.21 |
| 2–0 | 7.9% | 12.67 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional or draw | 70% | 1.43 |
| Estrela Amadora or draw | 54% | 1.86 |
| Nacional or Estrela Amadora (no draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| Nacional, draw no bet | 61% | 1.65 |
| Estrela Amadora, draw no bet | 39% | 2.54 |
League position
Nacional8of 18, 4 points from 3 games
Estrela Amadora11of 18, 2 points from 2 games
In the table, Nacional are in position 8 of 18 with 4 points, and Estrela Amadora in position 11 with 2.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Nacional vs Estrela Amadora played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 5 meetings since 2024
1Nacional
1Draws
3Estrela Amadora
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?
Estrela Amadora won 3–2 away at Nacional (Primeira Liga, Sun 30 Aug, 16:30 UK time).
When was Nacional vs Estrela Amadora played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sun 30 Aug, 16:30 UK time.
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