Nacional v SC BragaPrimeira Liga · Sun 25 Oct, 18:00
Full time 1-0These were our chances before kick-off.
Nacional vs SC Braga: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser19'
Miguel Baeza1–0 · Song Min-Kyu
33'
Francisco GonçalvesYellow card
Half time1–0
79'
Sergio BarciaYellow card
86'
Stavros GavrielYellow card
90'+4'
Gustaf LagerbielkeYellow card
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Nacional vs SC Braga?
Primeira Liga, Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 (UK time). Full time: Nacional 1-0 SC Braga.
Full time: Nacional 1-0 SC Braga. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Nacional to score 0.97 goals and SC Braga 1.85. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.19 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Nacional v SC Braga | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 11.6% | 8.61 |
| 0–2 | 10.2% | 9.81 |
| 1–1 | 10.1% | 9.93 |
| 1–2 | 9.9% | 10.10 |
| 1–0 | 6.4% | 15.70 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional or draw | 41% | 2.42 |
| SC Braga or draw | 80% | 1.25 |
| Nacional or SC Braga (no draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| Nacional, draw no bet | 25% | 3.93 |
| SC Braga, draw no bet | 75% | 1.34 |
League position
Nacional17of 18, 4 points from 8 games
SC Braga9of 18, 11 points from 8 games
In the table, Nacional are in position 17 of 18 with 4 points, and SC Braga in position 9 with 11.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Nacional vs SC Braga played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Nacional
Renato MarinGMatheus DiasCDZé VitorCD-LFrancisco GonçalvesCD-RWilliam KokoloLBMarkus JensenRBMiguel BaezaCM-LChiheb LabidiCM-RSong Min-KyuLMStavros GavrielRMNjoya KaderF
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Gabri MartínezOn for Gabriel Silva
45'
João MoutinhoOn for Tomás Marqués
45'
Mario DorgelesOn for Gorby
62'
Fran NavarroOn for Jovan Milosevic
68'
DeivisonOn for Markus Jensen
68'
Matchoi DjolóOn for Song Min-Kyu
76'
Denis HuseinbasicOn for Bright Arrey-Mbi
78'
Danel DongmoOn for Chiheb Labidi
78'
Pablo RuanOn for Njoya Kader
86'
Daniel JúniorOn for Miguel Baeza
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2018
2Nacional
0Draws
7SC Braga
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Nacional vs SC Braga?
Nacional won 1–0 against SC Braga (Primeira Liga, Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 UK time).
When was Nacional vs SC Braga played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 UK time.
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