Rio Ave v Estrela AmadoraPrimeira Liga · Mon 14 Sept, 19:45
Full time 3-3These were our chances before kick-off.
Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora?
Primeira Liga, Mon 14 Sept, 19:45 (UK time). Full time: Rio Ave 3-3 Estrela Amadora.
Full time: Rio Ave 3-3 Estrela Amadora. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Rio Ave to score 1.30 goals and Estrela Amadora 1.45. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Rio Ave v Estrela Amadora | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.6% | 8.66 |
| 0–1 | 9.8% | 10.19 |
| 1–0 | 8.8% | 11.31 |
| 1–2 | 8.7% | 11.44 |
| 2–1 | 7.8% | 12.77 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave or draw | 59% | 1.70 |
| Estrela Amadora or draw | 66% | 1.52 |
| Rio Ave or Estrela Amadora (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Rio Ave, draw no bet | 45% | 2.20 |
| Estrela Amadora, draw no bet | 55% | 1.83 |
League position
Rio Ave16of 18, 3 points from 5 games
Estrela Amadora6of 18, 9 points from 5 games
In the table, Rio Ave are in position 16 of 18 with 3 points, and Estrela Amadora in position 6 with 9.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2023
3Rio Ave
3Draws
1Estrela Amadora
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora?
Nobody: Rio Ave and Estrela Amadora drew 3–3 (Primeira Liga, Mon 14 Sept, 19:45 UK time).
When was Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Mon 14 Sept, 19:45 UK time.
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