Rio Ave v NacionalPrimeira Liga · Sun 11 Oct, 16:30
Full time 3-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Rio Ave vs Nacional: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser32'
Njoya KaderFrancisco Gonçalves
Half time1–1
50'
João ToméYellow card
54'
João ToméRed card
57'
Diogo BezerraSebastian Clemmensen
59'
72'
Jalen BlesaPenalty
73'
Jalen BlesaYellow card
90'+1'
Roland GalcikYellow card
Full time3–2
Key stats
Who will win Rio Ave vs Nacional?
Primeira Liga, Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 (UK time). Full time: Rio Ave 3-2 Nacional.
Full time: Rio Ave 3-2 Nacional. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Rio Ave to score 1.39 goals and Nacional 1.43. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.31 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.15 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.21 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Rio Ave v Nacional | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.6% | 8.64 |
| 0–1 | 8.8% | 11.34 |
| 1–0 | 8.6% | 11.64 |
| 1–2 | 8.5% | 11.81 |
| 2–1 | 8.2% | 12.14 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave or draw | 61% | 1.63 |
| Nacional or draw | 63% | 1.58 |
| Rio Ave or Nacional (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| Rio Ave, draw no bet | 49% | 2.05 |
| Nacional, draw no bet | 51% | 1.95 |
League position
Rio Ave16of 18, 4 points from 7 games
Nacional15of 18, 4 points from 7 games
In the table, Rio Ave are in position 16 of 18 with 4 points, and Nacional in position 15 with 4.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Rio Ave vs Nacional played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Rio Ave
Vitor HugoGGustavo ManchaCD-LAndreas NtoiCD-RMarios VrousaiLBJoão ToméRBMalik SelloukiAMGeorgios LiavasLMMiguel PatrícioRMJalen BlesaFDiogo BezerraAM-LSebastian ClemmensenAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
63'
Roland GalcikOn for Sebastian Clemmensen
63'
Francisco PetrassoOn for Miguel Patrício
68'
Fernando NavaOn for Daniel Júnior
68'
Miguel BaezaOn for Chiheb Labidi
76'
Diogo NascimentoOn for Diogo Bezerra
76'
Simón GarcíaOn for Malik Sellouki
78'
Tamble MonteiroOn for Jalen Blesa
78'
Allen ObandoOn for Matchoi Djoló
81'
Joel SilvaOn for Njoya Kader
81'
Stavros GavrielOn for Song Min-Kyu
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2018
4Rio Ave
4Draws
1Nacional
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Rio Ave vs Nacional?
Rio Ave won 3–2 against Nacional (Primeira Liga, Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 UK time).
When was Rio Ave vs Nacional played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 UK time.
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