SL Benfica v AlvercaPrimeira Liga · Mon 2 Nov, 20:15
Full time 1-0These were our chances before kick-off.
SL Benfica vs Alverca: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser15'
Yahya BojangYellow card
Half time0–0
51'
Vangelis PavlidisPenalty
58'
ChiquinhoYellow card
63'
Ian LuccasYellow card
65'
Clément LengletYellow card
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win SL Benfica vs Alverca?
Primeira Liga, Mon 2 Nov, 20:15 (UK time). Full time: SL Benfica 1-0 Alverca.
Full time: SL Benfica 1-0 Alverca. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects SL Benfica to score 2.62 goals and Alverca 0.76. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.95 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.92 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| SL Benfica v Alverca | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 11.7% | 8.58 |
| 3–0 | 10.2% | 9.80 |
| 1–0 | 9.5% | 10.48 |
| 2–1 | 8.9% | 11.26 |
| 3–1 | 7.8% | 12.89 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| SL Benfica or draw | 91% | 1.10 |
| Alverca or draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| SL Benfica or Alverca (no draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| SL Benfica, draw no bet | 90% | 1.12 |
| Alverca, draw no bet | 10% | 9.53 |
League position
SL Benfica2of 18, 22 points from 9 games
Alverca10of 18, 11 points from 9 games
In the table, SL Benfica are in position 2 of 18 with 22 points, and Alverca in position 10 with 11.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How SL Benfica vs Alverca played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
SL Benfica
Samuel SoaresGClément LengletCD-LTomás AraújoCD-RSamuel DahlLBAlexander BahRBGianluca PrestianniAMJoão PalhinhaLMFredrik AursnesRMVangelis PavlidisFAndreas SchjelderupAM-LDodi LukébakioAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Claudio EcheverriOn for Andreas Schjelderup
59'
Matheus FrançaOn for Lucas Figueiredo
59'
Diogo SpencerOn for Chissumba
69'
Rafa SilvaOn for Dodi Lukébakio
75'
Vivaldo SemedoOn for Dawda Camara
75'
Zé RafaelOn for Ian Luccas
86'
Cédric NuozziOn for Isaac James
90'+2'
Manu SilvaOn for João Palhinha
90'+2'
Jhon DuránOn for Vangelis Pavlidis
90'+3'
Jakub KaminskiOn for Gianluca Prestianni
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2025
3SL Benfica
0Draws
0Alverca
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won SL Benfica vs Alverca?
SL Benfica won 1–0 against Alverca (Primeira Liga, Mon 2 Nov, 20:15 UK time).
When was SL Benfica vs Alverca played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Mon 2 Nov, 20:15 UK time.
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