Sporting CP v AroucaPrimeira Liga · Sat 19 Sept, 21:30
Full time 2-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Arouca: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Sporting CP vs Arouca?
Primeira Liga, Sat 19 Sept, 21:30 (UK time). Full time: Sporting CP 2-2 Arouca.
Full time: Sporting CP 2-2 Arouca. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Sporting CP to score 2.89 goals and Arouca 0.74. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.37 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Sporting CP v Arouca | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 11.1% | 9.05 |
| 3–0 | 10.7% | 9.38 |
| 2–1 | 8.2% | 12.21 |
| 3–1 | 7.9% | 12.66 |
| 1–0 | 7.9% | 12.71 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP or draw | 93% | 1.07 |
| Arouca or draw | 19% | 5.37 |
| Sporting CP or Arouca (no draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| Sporting CP, draw no bet | 92% | 1.09 |
| Arouca, draw no bet | 8% | 12.71 |
League position
Sporting CP3of 18, 14 points from 6 games
Arouca5of 18, 10 points from 6 games
In the table, Sporting CP are in position 3 of 18 with 14 points, and Arouca in position 5 with 10.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Sporting CP vs Arouca played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 11 meetings since 2021
7Sporting CP
3Draws
1Arouca
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Sporting CP vs Arouca?
Nobody: Sporting CP and Arouca drew 2–2 (Primeira Liga, Sat 19 Sept, 21:30 UK time).
When was Sporting CP vs Arouca played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Sat 19 Sept, 21:30 UK time.
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