Vitoria Guimaraes v MaritimoPrimeira Liga · Fri 23 Oct, 21:45
Full time 5-0These were our chances before kick-off.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo: result and prediction
Primeira LigaFriday 23 Oct 2026Vitoria Guimaraes
- Jakupovic 38'
- Henrique 48' (og)
- Tourad Camara 60'
- Jakupovic 76'
- Mosquera 90'
5–0
Full timeHalf time 1–0Venue Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser12'
Gustavo da SilvaYellow card
17'
Gonçalo NogueiraYellow card
22'
Toni BorevkovicYellow card
36'
Raphael GuzzoYellow card
36'
Tomas TavaresYellow card
Half time1–0
48'
Paulo HenriqueOwn goal
62'
Rodrigo AndradeYellow card
63'
SamuYellow card
76'
Arnel JakupovicSamu
90'
Yeimar MosqueraAlan
Full time5–0
Key stats
Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo?
Primeira Liga, Fri 23 Oct, 21:45 (UK time). Full time: Vitoria Guimaraes 5-0 Maritimo.
Full time: Vitoria Guimaraes 5-0 Maritimo. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Vitoria Guimaraes to score 1.88 goals and Maritimo 0.90. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Vitoria Guimaraes v Maritimo | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 12.3% | 8.15 |
| 2–0 | 11.0% | 9.13 |
| 1–1 | 9.9% | 10.08 |
| 2–1 | 9.9% | 10.13 |
| 3–0 | 6.9% | 14.60 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vitoria Guimaraes or draw | 82% | 1.22 |
| Maritimo or draw | 39% | 2.56 |
| Vitoria Guimaraes or Maritimo (no draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| Vitoria Guimaraes, draw no bet | 77% | 1.30 |
| Maritimo, draw no bet | 23% | 4.35 |
League position
Vitoria Guimaraes15of 18, 5 points from 8 games
Maritimo11of 18, 8 points from 8 games
In the table, Vitoria Guimaraes are in position 15 of 18 with 5 points, and Maritimo in position 11 with 8.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Vitoria Guimaraes
Lucas FurtadoGAhmed SidibéCD-LToni BorevkovicCD-RJoão MendesLBTony StrataRBSamuAMBeni MukendiLMGonçalo NogueiraRMArnel JakupovicFGustavo da SilvaAM-LOumar Tourad CamaraAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
SimoOn for Tomas Tavares
66'
Victor AnderssonOn for Gustavo da Silva
66'
Lohann DoucetOn for Gonçalo Nogueira
69'
Ibrahim AlaniOn for Raphael Guzzo
69'
NiltonOn for Maxime Dominguez
78'
AlanOn for Samu
78'
Yeimar MosqueraOn for Ahmed Sidibé
78'
Alioune NdoyeOn for Arnel Jakupovic
80'
Mons BassouaminaOn for Martín Tejón
86'
Maurice BoakyeOn for Adrián Butzke
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 13 meetings since 2017
10Vitoria Guimaraes
2Draws
1Maritimo
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo?
Vitoria Guimaraes won 5–0 against Maritimo (Primeira Liga, Fri 23 Oct, 21:45 UK time).
When was Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo played?
Primeira Liga, kick-off Fri 23 Oct, 21:45 UK time.
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