What are the fair odds for Vitória SC vs CS Maritimo?

On our chances: Vitória SC 2.43, the draw 3.07, CS Maritimo 3.82, in decimal odds. A bookmaker paying more than these is offering value on our numbers.

When is Vitória SC vs CS Maritimo?

Primeira Liga, kick-off Fri 23 Oct, 20:45 UK time.

Vitória SC vs CS Maritimo prediction (23 Oct 2026)

What happened

officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser

12'

Gustavo da SilvaYellow card

17'

Gonçalo NogueiraYellow card

22'

Toni BorevkovicYellow card

36'

Raphael GuzzoYellow card

36'

Tomas TavaresYellow card

38'

Arnel Jakupovic

Half time1–0

48'

Paulo HenriqueOwn goal

60'

Oumar Tourad Camara

62'

Rodrigo AndradeYellow card

63'

SamuYellow card

76'

Arnel JakupovicSamu

90'

Yeimar MosqueraAlan

Full time5–0

Key stats

57.8%Possession42.2%

16Shots10

8Shots on target2

6Corners5

80.1%Pass accuracy75%

15Fouls11

Who will win Vitória SC vs CS Maritimo?

Primeira Liga, Fri 23 Oct, 20:45 (UK time). Our AI research makes Vitória SC the likeliest result at 41%.

Vitória SC v CS MaritimoPrimeira Liga · Fri 23 Oct, 20:45

BAI8 called it

41%Vitória SC

33%Draw

26%CS Maritimo

fair 2.43fair 3.07fair 3.82

These were our chances before kick-off.

Our researchthe assessment's own estimate, from its research passes

Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.

Double chance and draw no bet

What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.

Bet	Our chance	Fair odds
Vitória SC or draw	74%	1.35
CS Maritimo or draw	59%	1.70
Vitória SC or CS Maritimo (no draw)	67%	1.48
Vitória SC, draw no bet	61%	1.64
CS Maritimo, draw no bet	39%	2.57

What our call adds

Win, draw and loss chances

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

The five likeliest scores

The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers

The edge in points, and every source the research read

The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.

18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

How Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo played out

officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser

15Fouls11

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

1Offsides6

6Corners5

2Saves3

57.8%Possession42.2%

16Shots10

8Shots on target2

50%On Target %20%

0Penalty Goals0

0Penalty Kicks Taken0

355Accurate Passes243

443Passes324

80.1%Pass accuracy75%

4Accurate Crosses5

22Crosses14

18.2%Cross %35.7%

64Long Balls50

30Accurate Long Balls24

46.9%Long Balls %48%

4Blocked Shots2

13Effective Tackles11

17Tackles13

76.5%Tackle %84.6%

10Interceptions9

23Clearances34

Line-ups

Substitutions

45'

SimoOn for Tomas Tavares

66'

Victor AnderssonOn for Gustavo da Silva

66'

Lohann DoucetOn for Gonçalo Nogueira

69'

Ibrahim AlaniOn for Raphael Guzzo

69'

NiltonOn for Maxime Dominguez

78'

AlanOn for Samu

78'

Yeimar MosqueraOn for Ahmed Sidibé

78'

Alioune NdoyeOn for Arnel Jakupovic

80'

Mons BassouaminaOn for Martín Tejón

86'

Maurice BoakyeOn for Adrián Butzke

Form

Vitoria GuimaraesLast 5 games

MaritimoLast 5 games

Head to head

Every meeting

Wins in 13 meetings since 2017

10Vitoria Guimaraes

2Draws

1Maritimo

Last meetings

Vitoria GuimaraesMaritimo5023 Oct2026Full timeAssessed MaritimoVitoria Guimaraes1229 Apr2023Full time Vitoria GuimaraesMaritimo1013 Nov2022Full time MaritimoVitoria Guimaraes0113 Mar2022Full time Vitoria GuimaraesMaritimo2122 Oct2021Full time

Vitória SC vs CS Maritimo prediction