Aberdeen v St MirrenScottish Premiership · Sat 17 Oct, 15:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Aberdeen vs St Mirren: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser31'
Ryan CarrYellow card
42'
Half time1–1
56'
Paul NsioYellow card
58'
Jacob ChapmanPenalty - Saved
58'
Kevin NisbetPenalty - Missed
58'
77'
Stuart ArmstrongYellow card
Full time3–1
Key stats
Who will win Aberdeen vs St Mirren?
Scottish Premiership, Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (UK time). Full time: Aberdeen 3-1 St Mirren.
Full time: Aberdeen 3-1 St Mirren. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Aberdeen to score 1.21 goals and St Mirren 1.10. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | 2.15 |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | 1.87 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.92 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Aberdeen v St Mirren | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.9% | 7.75 |
| 1–0 | 12.3% | 8.14 |
| 0–1 | 11.2% | 8.90 |
| 0–0 | 9.6% | 10.44 |
| 2–1 | 8.0% | 12.52 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen or draw | 72% | 1.40 |
| St Mirren or draw | 59% | 1.71 |
| Aberdeen or St Mirren (no draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| Aberdeen, draw no bet | 59% | 1.69 |
| St Mirren, draw no bet | 41% | 2.46 |
League position
Aberdeen8of 12, 8 points from 8 games
St Mirren7of 12, 10 points from 8 games
In the table, Aberdeen are in position 8 of 12 with 8 points, and St Mirren in position 7 with 10.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Aberdeen vs St Mirren played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Aberdeen
Marius MüllerGMats KnoesterCD-LLewis MayoCD-RNesta Guinness-WalkerLBChristopher CaddenRBConnor RonanAMAremu AfeezLMBrad LyonsRMKevin NisbetFToyosi OlusanyaAM-LLewis SmithAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Stuart ArmstrongOn for Connor Ronan
45'
Tony YoganeOn for Brad Lyons
59'
Samuel RamosOn for Luke Thomas
67'
Fraser TaylorOn for Paul Nsio
71'
Ayoub MoulouaOn for Toyosi Olusanya
74'
Jake YoungOn for Eseosa Sule
76'
Emmanuel GyamfiOn for Lewis Smith
90'+3'
Findlay MarshallOn for Kevin Nisbet
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 20 meetings since 2021
6Aberdeen
3Draws
11St Mirren
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Aberdeen vs St Mirren?
Aberdeen won 3–1 against St Mirren (Scottish Premiership, Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Aberdeen vs St Mirren?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Aberdeen.
When was Aberdeen vs St Mirren played?
Scottish Premiership, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
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