Dundee v KilmarnockScottish Premiership · Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
Full time 3-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: result and prediction
Scottish PremiershipWednesday 28 Oct 2026Venue The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens ParkReferee D NicolsonAttendance 4,866
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser32'
Half time1–0
58'
Cathal McCarthyYellow card
75'
Joe HugillPenalty
83'
85'
George StangerYellow card
90'+3'
Mj KamaraYellow card
90'+4'
Full time3–1
Key stats
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Scottish Premiership, Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 (UK time). Full time: Dundee 3-1 Kilmarnock.
Full time: Dundee 3-1 Kilmarnock. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Dundee to score 1.77 goals and Kilmarnock 1.34. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | 2.57 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Dundee v Kilmarnock | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.4% | 9.58 |
| 2–1 | 9.4% | 10.68 |
| 1–0 | 8.0% | 12.47 |
| 1–2 | 7.1% | 14.10 |
| 2–0 | 7.0% | 14.33 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Dundee or draw | 71% | 1.41 |
| Kilmarnock or draw | 52% | 1.91 |
| Dundee or Kilmarnock (no draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| Dundee, draw no bet | 62% | 1.61 |
| Kilmarnock, draw no bet | 38% | 2.63 |
League position
Dundee5of 12, 14 points from 10 games
Kilmarnock11of 12, 8 points from 10 games
In the table, Dundee are in position 5 of 12 with 14 points, and Kilmarnock in position 11 with 8.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Dundee vs Kilmarnock played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Dundee
Owen GoodmanGRyan AstleyCD-LJoe WrightCD-RImari SamuelsLBDrey WrightRBEthan HamiltonCM-LCallum JonesCM-RAlan ForrestLMJoe BevanRMBradley FinkCF-LAshley HayCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
60'
Charlie ReillyOn for Joe Bevan
65'
Joe WestleyOn for Bradley Fink
66'
Matai AkinmboniOn for Joe Wright
70'
Mj KamaraOn for Robbie Deas
76'
Ieuan OwenOn for Greg Kiltie
76'
Jonathan MeierOn for Jamie Brandon
78'
Zan BesirOn for Callum Jones
89'
Djenario DanielsOn for Cathal McCarthy
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
3Dundee
10Draws
6Kilmarnock
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
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Common questions
Who won Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee won 3–1 against Kilmarnock (Scottish Premiership, Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 UK time).
When was Dundee vs Kilmarnock played?
Scottish Premiership, kick-off Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 UK time.
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