Kilmarnock v MotherwellScottish Premiership · Sat 17 Oct, 16:00
Full time 3-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell: result and prediction
Scottish PremiershipSaturday 17 Oct 2026Kilmarnock
- Kiltie 2'
- John-Jules 58'
- Kiltie 69'
3–2
Full timeHalf time 1–1Motherwell
- Lowry 17'
- Palmer-Houlden 56'
Venue The BBSP StadiumReferee C ScottAttendance 5,137
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Scottish Premiership, Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 (UK time). Full time: Kilmarnock 3-2 Motherwell.
Full time: Kilmarnock 3-2 Motherwell. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Kilmarnock to score 1.37 goals and Motherwell 1.66. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.50 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.79 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Kilmarnock v Motherwell | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.8% | 9.30 |
| 1–2 | 9.1% | 10.96 |
| 0–1 | 8.3% | 12.03 |
| 2–1 | 7.5% | 13.28 |
| 1–0 | 6.9% | 14.49 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock or draw | 55% | 1.81 |
| Motherwell or draw | 68% | 1.47 |
| Kilmarnock or Motherwell (no draw) | 77% | 1.31 |
| Kilmarnock, draw no bet | 42% | 2.40 |
| Motherwell, draw no bet | 58% | 1.72 |
League position
Kilmarnock12of 12, 5 points from 8 games
Motherwell9of 12, 8 points from 8 games
In the table, Kilmarnock are in position 12 of 12 with 5 points, and Motherwell in position 9 with 8.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Kilmarnock vs Motherwell played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Kilmarnock
Calum FerieGGeorge StangerCD-LCathal McCarthyCD-RMichael Schjonning-LarsenLBMj KamaraRBTyreece John-JulesAMTom LoweryLMBailey RiceRMJoe HugillFGreg KiltieAM-LErik RingAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
33'
Jamie BrandonOn for Mj Kamara
35'
Aaron TshibolaOn for Bailey Rice
68'
Eythor BjørgolfssonOn for Seb Palmer-Houlden
68'
Jardell KangaOn for Alexander Lowry
68'
Jake Girdwood-ReichOn for Martin Moormann
75'
Dylan LevittOn for Lukas Fadinger
77'
Ieuan OwenOn for Greg Kiltie
77'
Djenario DanielsOn for Tyreece John-Jules
81'
Johnny KoutroumbisOn for Tom Sparrow
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 20 meetings since 2019
6Kilmarnock
6Draws
8Motherwell
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Kilmarnock won 3–2 against Motherwell (Scottish Premiership, Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 UK time).
When was Kilmarnock vs Motherwell played?
Scottish Premiership, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 UK time.
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