Motherwell v St MirrenScottish Premiership · Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Full time 1-0These were our chances before kick-off.
Motherwell vs St Mirren: result and prediction
Scottish PremiershipSaturday 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK timeVenue Fir ParkReferee D RobertsonAttendance 6,738
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser38'
Joseph HodgeYellow card
Half time0–0
50'
Marcus FraserYellow card
51'
Ryan CarrYellow card
60'
Martin MoormannYellow card
82'
Lukas FadingerPenalty
86'
Alexander GogicYellow card
89'
Regan Charles-CookYellow card
90'
Emmanuel LongeloYellow card
90'+1'
Samuel RamosYellow card
90'+2'
Killian PhillipsYellow card
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Motherwell vs St Mirren?
Scottish Premiership, Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 (UK time). Full time: Motherwell 1-0 St Mirren.
Full time: Motherwell 1-0 St Mirren. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Motherwell to score 1.74 goals and St Mirren 1.03. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Motherwell v St Mirren | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.1% | 9.03 |
| 1–0 | 11.0% | 9.10 |
| 2–1 | 9.8% | 10.24 |
| 2–0 | 9.5% | 10.58 |
| 0–1 | 6.6% | 15.20 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell or draw | 77% | 1.29 |
| St Mirren or draw | 46% | 2.18 |
| Motherwell or St Mirren (no draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| Motherwell, draw no bet | 71% | 1.42 |
| St Mirren, draw no bet | 29% | 3.40 |
League position
Motherwell10of 12, 9 points from 11 games
St Mirren7of 12, 14 points from 11 games
In the table, Motherwell are in position 10 of 12 with 9 points, and St Mirren in position 7 with 14.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Motherwell vs St Mirren played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Motherwell
Alex PaulsenGMartin MoormannCD-LJake Girdwood-ReichCD-REmmanuel LongeloLBTom SparrowRBIbrahim Sa'IdAMLukas FadingerLMJoseph HodgeRMSeb Palmer-HouldenFJardell KangaAM-LTawanda MaswanhiseAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
59'
Jake YoungOn for Eseosa Sule
59'
Samuel RamosOn for Ryan Carr
65'
Oscar PriestmanOn for Joseph Hodge
65'
Regan Charles-CookOn for Jardell Kanga
72'
Declan JohnOn for Luke Thomas
73'
Callum HendryOn for Tawanda Maswanhise
73'
Eythor BjørgolfssonOn for Seb Palmer-Houlden
85'
Chris MochrieOn for Henry Fieldson
90'+3'
Paul McGinnOn for Ibrahim Sa'Id
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 20 meetings since 2021
9Motherwell
9Draws
2St Mirren
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Motherwell vs St Mirren?
Motherwell won 1–0 against St Mirren (Scottish Premiership, Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time).
When was Motherwell vs St Mirren played?
Scottish Premiership, kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
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