AD Ceuta v Real OviedoSegunda División · Sun 18 Oct, 14:00
Full time 1-2These were our chances before kick-off.
AD Ceuta vs Real Oviedo: result and prediction
Venue Estadio Alfonso Murube
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser20'
Alex PetxarrománYellow card
22'
Marino IllescasYellow card
25'
David JiménezYellow card
43'
Jordi EscobarYellow card
Half time0–1
90'
Kuki ZalazarYellow card
90'+6'
Aritz AldasoroYellow card
90'+7'
Carlos DomínguezYellow card
Full time1–2
Key stats
Who will win AD Ceuta vs Real Oviedo?
Segunda División, Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (UK time). Full time: AD Ceuta 1-2 Real Oviedo.
Full time: AD Ceuta 1-2 Real Oviedo. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects AD Ceuta to score 1.06 goals and Real Oviedo 1.41. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.24 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| AD Ceuta v Real Oviedo | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.6% | 7.96 |
| 0–1 | 12.0% | 8.33 |
| 1–0 | 9.1% | 11.00 |
| 1–2 | 8.9% | 11.24 |
| 0–2 | 8.4% | 11.95 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta or draw | 55% | 1.82 |
| Real Oviedo or draw | 71% | 1.40 |
| AD Ceuta or Real Oviedo (no draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| AD Ceuta, draw no bet | 39% | 2.57 |
| Real Oviedo, draw no bet | 61% | 1.64 |
League position
AD Ceuta21of 22, 5 points from 9 games
Real Oviedo9of 22, 14 points from 9 games
In the table, AD Ceuta are in position 21 of 22 with 5 points, and Real Oviedo in position 9 with 14.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How AD Ceuta vs Real Oviedo played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
AD Ceuta
Pedro LópezGCapaCD-LCarlos HernándezCD-RMatosLBAlex PetxarrománRBKuki ZalazarAMMarino IllescasLMGabriel OkoroRMJordi EscobarFKialy KoneAM-LEdgar SevikyanAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
RedruOn for Alex Petxarromán
59'
José Luis MoralesOn for Víctor García Mingo
59'
Nacho VidalOn for David Jiménez
59'
Pablo SáenzOn for Alberto Reina
72'
Omar SadikOn for Edgar Sevikyan
72'
Alejandro CamachoOn for Kialy Kone
74'
Jacobo GonzálezOn for Mikel Goti
81'
Abraham Bueno EspinosaOn for Matos
84'
Daniel VillahermosaOn for Enzo Pérez Miranda
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 1 meeting since 2026
0AD Ceuta
0Draws
1Real Oviedo
Last meetings
AD CeutaReal Oviedo1218 Oct2026Full timeAssessed
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Common questions
Who won AD Ceuta vs Real Oviedo?
Real Oviedo won 2–1 away at AD Ceuta (Segunda División, Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time).
When was AD Ceuta vs Real Oviedo played?
Segunda División, kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time.
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