Almeria v Burgos CFSegunda División · Sat 3 Oct, 16:15
Full time 2-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Almeria vs Burgos CF: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Almeria vs Burgos CF?
Segunda División, Sat 3 Oct, 16:15 (UK time). Full time: Almeria 2-1 Burgos CF.
Full time: Almeria 2-1 Burgos CF. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Almeria to score 1.53 goals and Burgos CF 0.93. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | 2.11 |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | 1.90 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.27 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Almeria v Burgos CF | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 13.2% | 7.56 |
| 1–1 | 12.0% | 8.35 |
| 2–0 | 10.0% | 10.01 |
| 2–1 | 9.3% | 10.75 |
| 0–0 | 8.4% | 11.98 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria or draw | 77% | 1.30 |
| Burgos CF or draw | 49% | 2.06 |
| Almeria or Burgos CF (no draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| Almeria, draw no bet | 69% | 1.45 |
| Burgos CF, draw no bet | 31% | 3.22 |
League position
Almeria3of 22, 15 points from 7 games
Burgos CF4of 22, 14 points from 7 games
In the table, Almeria are in position 3 of 22 with 15 points, and Burgos CF in position 4 with 14.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Almeria vs Burgos CF played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2021
4Almeria
1Draws
2Burgos CF
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Almeria vs Burgos CF?
Almeria won 2–1 against Burgos CF (Segunda División, Sat 3 Oct, 16:15 UK time).
When was Almeria vs Burgos CF played?
Segunda División, kick-off Sat 3 Oct, 16:15 UK time.
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