These were our chances before kick-off.
Castellon vs Sporting Gijon: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Castellon vs Sporting Gijon?
Segunda División, Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: Castellon 4-0 Sporting Gijon.
Full time: Castellon 4-0 Sporting Gijon. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Castellon to score 1.74 goals and Sporting Gijon 0.94. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 2.01 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.55 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Castellon v Sporting Gijon | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 12.1% | 8.27 |
| 1–1 | 11.1% | 9.05 |
| 2–0 | 10.3% | 9.67 |
| 2–1 | 9.8% | 10.26 |
| 0–0 | 6.7% | 14.97 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon or draw | 79% | 1.26 |
| Sporting Gijon or draw | 44% | 2.28 |
| Castellon or Sporting Gijon (no draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| Castellon, draw no bet | 73% | 1.36 |
| Sporting Gijon, draw no bet | 27% | 3.74 |
League position
In the table, Castellon are in position 2 of 22 with 23 points, and Sporting Gijon in position 7 with 19.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Castellon vs Sporting Gijon played out
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Substitutions
Form
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Common questions
Who won Castellon vs Sporting Gijon?
Castellon won 4–0 against Sporting Gijon (Segunda División, Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 UK time).
When was Castellon vs Sporting Gijon played?
Segunda División, kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 UK time.