These were our chances before kick-off.
Las Palmas vs Burgos CF: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Las Palmas vs Burgos CF?
Segunda División, Sun 20 Sept, 18:30 (UK time). Full time: Las Palmas 1-2 Burgos CF.
Full time: Las Palmas 1-2 Burgos CF. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Las Palmas to score 1.24 goals and Burgos CF 0.80. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | 2.57 |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | 1.64 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.98 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 6.63 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Las Palmas v Burgos CF | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 16.3% | 6.12 |
| 0–0 | 12.7% | 7.85 |
| 1–1 | 12.7% | 7.89 |
| 0–1 | 10.6% | 9.45 |
| 2–0 | 10.0% | 9.98 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas or draw | 76% | 1.32 |
| Burgos CF or draw | 53% | 1.88 |
| Las Palmas or Burgos CF (no draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| Las Palmas, draw no bet | 66% | 1.51 |
| Burgos CF, draw no bet | 34% | 2.95 |
League position
In the table, Las Palmas are in position 6 of 22 with 10 points, and Burgos CF in position 10 with 8.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Las Palmas vs Burgos CF played out
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Common questions
Who won Las Palmas vs Burgos CF?
Burgos CF won 2–1 away at Las Palmas (Segunda División, Sun 20 Sept, 18:30 UK time).
When was Las Palmas vs Burgos CF played?
Segunda División, kick-off Sun 20 Sept, 18:30 UK time.