AC Milan v AtalantaSerie A · Sun 18 Oct, 18:00
Full time 3-2These were our chances before kick-off.
AC Milan vs Atalanta: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser24'
Gonçalo RamosPenalty
41'
Adrien RabiotYellow card
43'
Adrien RabiotDiego Moreira
Half time2–0
57'
Gonçalo RamosPenalty - Saved
57'
Mario GilaAdrien Rabiot
66'
Gianluca GaetanoNicola Zalewski
68'
ÉdersonYellow card
78'
Relja ObricYellow card
81'
Nikola KrstovicRaoul Bellanova
Full time3–2
Key stats
Who will win AC Milan vs Atalanta?
Serie A, Sun 18 Oct, 18:00 (UK time). Full time: AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta.
Full time: AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects AC Milan to score 1.46 goals and Atalanta 1.13. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.82 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| AC Milan v Atalanta | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.4% | 8.06 |
| 1–0 | 10.9% | 9.18 |
| 2–1 | 9.0% | 11.10 |
| 0–1 | 8.5% | 11.78 |
| 2–0 | 7.9% | 12.59 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan or draw | 71% | 1.42 |
| Atalanta or draw | 56% | 1.80 |
| AC Milan or Atalanta (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| AC Milan, draw no bet | 60% | 1.66 |
| Atalanta, draw no bet | 40% | 2.51 |
League position
AC Milan7of 20, 12 points from 6 games
Atalanta10of 20, 9 points from 6 games
In the table, AC Milan are in position 7 of 20 with 12 points, and Atalanta in position 10 with 9.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How AC Milan vs Atalanta played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
AC Milan
Mike MaignanGKoni De WinterCDStrahinja PavlovicCD-LMario GilaCD-RLuka ModricCM-LYunus MusahCM-RDiego MoreiraLMSamuel ChukwuezeRMGonçalo RamosFChristian PulisicCF-LAdrien RabiotCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
20'
Relja ObricOn for Sead Kolasinac
53'
Omari HutchinsonOn for Samuel Chukwueze
59'
Gianluca GaetanoOn for Mario Pasalic
59'
Nicola ZalewskiOn for Jon Rowe
75'
Gianluca ScamaccaOn for Lazar Samardzic
75'
Davide ZappacostaOn for Lorenzo Bernasconi
75'
Ardon JashariOn for Christian Pulisic
75'
Pervis EstupiñánOn for Yunus Musah
75'
Ruben Loftus-CheekOn for Luka Modric
84'
Fikayo TomoriOn for Mario Gila
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
6AC Milan
6Draws
7Atalanta
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won AC Milan vs Atalanta?
AC Milan won 3–2 against Atalanta (Serie A, Sun 18 Oct, 18:00 UK time).
When was AC Milan vs Atalanta played?
Serie A, kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 18:00 UK time.
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