AC Milan v BolognaSerie A · Wed 28 Oct, 17:30
Full time 2-4These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: AC Milan, lost.
AC Milan vs Bologna: result and prediction
Serie AWednesday 28 Oct 2026AC Milan
- Cissè 14'
- Cissè 27'
2–4
Full timeHalf time 2–1Bologna
- Mbangula 8'
- Bartesaghi 60' (og)
- Mbangula 62'
- Mbangula 86'
Venue San Siro
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser8'
Samuel MbangulaNadir Zortea
27'
Alphadjo CissèFikayo Tomori
Half time2–1
60'
Davide BartesaghiOwn goal
62'
Samuel MbangulaJuan Miranda
76'
Tommaso PobegaYellow card
84'
Torbjørn HeggemYellow card
86'
Samuel MbangulaJens Odgaard
Full time2–4
Key stats
Who will win AC Milan vs Bologna?
Serie A, Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: AC Milan 2-4 Bologna.
Full time: AC Milan 2-4 Bologna. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects AC Milan to score 1.37 goals and Bologna 0.99. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | 2.14 |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | 1.87 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.69 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| AC Milan v Bologna | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 13.2% | 7.58 |
| 1–1 | 12.5% | 7.99 |
| 0–1 | 9.7% | 10.35 |
| 0–0 | 9.1% | 10.95 |
| 2–0 | 8.8% | 11.33 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan or draw | 81% | 1.24 |
| Bologna or draw | 44% | 2.26 |
| AC Milan or Bologna (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| AC Milan, draw no bet | 74% | 1.35 |
| Bologna, draw no bet | 26% | 3.88 |
League position
AC Milan5of 20, 18 points from 8 games
Bologna13of 20, 8 points from 8 games
In the table, AC Milan are in position 5 of 20 with 18 points, and Bologna in position 13 with 8.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How AC Milan vs Bologna played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
AC Milan
Mike MaignanGStrahinja PavlovicCD-LKoni De WinterCD-RPervis EstupiñánLBFikayo TomoriRBAlphadjo CissèAMArdon JashariLMYunus MusahRMGonçalo RamosFDavide BartesaghiAM-LOmari HutchinsonAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Luka ModricOn for Fikayo Tomori
58'
Sankhoun DiawaraOn for Pervis Estupiñán
58'
Christian PulisicOn for Omari Hutchinson
58'
Martin VitíkOn for Matteo Darmian
59'
Juan MirandaOn for Rahim Alhassane
59'
Nicolò CambiaghiOn for Federico Bernardeschi
63'
Francesco CamardaOn for Davide Bartesaghi
70'
Torbjørn HeggemOn for Arthur Theate
79'
Eivind HellandOn for Nicoló Casale
87'
Christian ComottoOn for Gonçalo Ramos
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
13AC Milan
4Draws
2Bologna
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won AC Milan vs Bologna?
Bologna won 4–2 away at AC Milan (Serie A, Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 UK time).
When was AC Milan vs Bologna played?
Serie A, kick-off Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 UK time.
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