AC Milan v Inter MilanSerie A · Sat 31 Oct, 19:45
Full time 3-1These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Inter Milan, lost.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser4'
Christian Pulisic1–0 · Diego Moreira
10'
Adrien Rabiot2–0 · Diego Moreira
22'
43'
Half time3–1
49'
Koni De WinterYellow card
52'
Diego MoreiraYellow card
90'
Carlos AugustoYellow card
Full time3–1
Key stats
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
Serie A, Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 (UK time). Full time: AC Milan 3-1 Inter Milan.
Full time: AC Milan 3-1 Inter Milan. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects AC Milan to score 1.14 goals and Inter Milan 1.81. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.77 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| AC Milan v Inter Milan | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.6% | 9.46 |
| 1–2 | 9.8% | 10.24 |
| 0–1 | 9.8% | 10.25 |
| 0–2 | 8.6% | 11.64 |
| 1–0 | 6.2% | 16.03 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan or draw | 53% | 1.89 |
| Inter Milan or draw | 72% | 1.39 |
| AC Milan or Inter Milan (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| AC Milan, draw no bet | 37% | 2.68 |
| Inter Milan, draw no bet | 63% | 1.60 |
League position
AC Milan5of 20, 18 points from 9 games
Inter Milan1of 20, 25 points from 9 games
In the table, AC Milan are in position 5 of 20 with 18 points, and Inter Milan in position 1 with 25.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How AC Milan vs Inter Milan played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
AC Milan
Mike MaignanGKoni De WinterCDStrahinja PavlovicCD-LMario GilaCD-RYunus MusahCM-LLuka ModricCM-RSankhoun DiawaraLMDiego MoreiraRMGonçalo RamosFChristian PulisicCF-LAdrien RabiotCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
72'
Piotr ZielinskiOn for Hakan Çalhanoglu
72'
Henrikh MkhitaryanOn for Andy Diouf
81'
Federico DimarcoOn for Alessandro Bastoni
82'
Pio EspositoOn for Nicolò Barella
82'
Ange-Yoan BonnyOn for Yann Bisseck
82'
Ardon JashariOn for Yunus Musah
82'
Alphadjo CissèOn for Christian Pulisic
83'
Davide BartesaghiOn for Sankhoun Diawara
89'
Filippo TerraccianoOn for Gonçalo Ramos
89'
Omari HutchinsonOn for Diego Moreira
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
7AC Milan
3Draws
9Inter Milan
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
AC Milan won 3–1 against Inter Milan (Serie A, Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time).
When was AC Milan vs Inter Milan played?
Serie A, kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time.
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