These were our chances before kick-off.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: result and prediction
- Lulli 15'
- Pisilli 21'
- Mora 85'
- Malen 87'
- Nzola 10' (pen)
- Maldini 81'
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?
Serie A, Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 (UK time). Full time: AS Roma 4-2 Cagliari.
Full time: AS Roma 4-2 Cagliari. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects AS Roma to score 2.02 goals and Cagliari 0.77. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | 1.86 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.27 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| AS Roma v Cagliari | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 12.7% | 7.91 |
| 2–0 | 12.6% | 7.96 |
| 2–1 | 9.6% | 10.37 |
| 1–1 | 9.3% | 10.73 |
| 3–0 | 8.5% | 11.81 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| AS Roma or draw | 88% | 1.14 |
| Cagliari or draw | 32% | 3.09 |
| AS Roma or Cagliari (no draw) | 80% | 1.26 |
| AS Roma, draw no bet | 85% | 1.18 |
| Cagliari, draw no bet | 15% | 6.63 |
League position
In the table, AS Roma are in position 3 of 20 with 18 points, and Cagliari in position 9 with 13.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
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How AS Roma vs Cagliari played out
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Substitutions
Form
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Common questions
Who won AS Roma vs Cagliari?
AS Roma won 4–2 against Cagliari (Serie A, Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 UK time).
Did BAI8 call AS Roma vs Cagliari?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: AS Roma.
When was AS Roma vs Cagliari played?
Serie A, kick-off Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 UK time.