Atalanta v VeneziaSerie A · Mon 12 Oct, 18:30
Full time 3-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Venezia: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser4'
Franck Kessié1–0 · Nikola Krstovic
6'
Nikola Krstovic2–0 · Eljif Elmas
18'
Matías MorenoYellow card
30'
37'
Antoine Hainaut3–1 · Richie Sagrado
42'
Juan JesusYellow card
Half time3–1
89'
Eljif ElmasRed card
Full time3–1
Key stats
Who will win Atalanta vs Venezia?
Serie A, Mon 12 Oct, 18:30 (UK time). Full time: Atalanta 3-1 Venezia.
Full time: Atalanta 3-1 Venezia. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Atalanta to score 2.25 goals and Venezia 0.87. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Atalanta v Venezia | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 11.2% | 8.90 |
| 1–0 | 10.0% | 10.04 |
| 2–1 | 9.7% | 10.29 |
| 1–1 | 8.7% | 11.55 |
| 3–0 | 8.4% | 11.88 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta or draw | 87% | 1.15 |
| Venezia or draw | 31% | 3.19 |
| Atalanta or Venezia (no draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| Atalanta, draw no bet | 84% | 1.19 |
| Venezia, draw no bet | 16% | 6.29 |
League position
Atalanta11of 20, 6 points from 5 games
Venezia20of 20, 0 points from 5 games
In the table, Atalanta are in position 11 of 20 with 6 points, and Venezia in position 20 with 0.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Atalanta vs Venezia played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Atalanta
Marco CarnesecchiGGiorgio ScalviniCD-LThomas KristensenCD-RDavide ZappacostaLBRaoul BellanovaRBCharles De KetelaereAMÉdersonLMFranck KessiéRMNikola KrstovicFJon RoweAM-LEljif ElmasAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
8'
Richie SagradoOn for Thierry Correia
60'
Lazar SamardzicOn for Charles De Ketelaere
67'
Sead KolasinacOn for Giorgio Scalvini
67'
Lorenzo BernasconiOn for Raoul Bellanova
76'
Nicola ZalewskiOn for Jon Rowe
76'
Gianluca GaetanoOn for Franck Kessié
83'
Thorir Johann HelgasonOn for Toma Basic
83'
Joel SchingtienneOn for Matías Moreno
83'
Lion LauberbachOn for Akor Adams
87'
Albion RrahmaniOn for Simon Sohm
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 5 meetings since 2021
4Atalanta
1Draws
0Venezia
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Atalanta vs Venezia?
Atalanta won 3–1 against Venezia (Serie A, Mon 12 Oct, 18:30 UK time).
When was Atalanta vs Venezia played?
Serie A, kick-off Mon 12 Oct, 18:30 UK time.
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