Genoa v AC MilanSerie A · Sun 8 Nov, 14:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Genoa vs AC Milan: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser13'
Alphadjo Cissè0–1 · Adrien Rabiot
19'
Christian Pulisic0–2 · Gonçalo Ramos
28'
Sankhoun DiawaraYellow card
Half time0–2
50'
Alessandro MarcandalliYellow card
50'
Adrien RabiotYellow card
76'
Christian PulisicYellow card
87'
Mario GilaYellow card
88'
Mikael Ellertsson1–2 · Tommaso Baldanzi
90'+4'
Kingsley EhizibueYellow card
Full time1–2
Key stats
Who will win Genoa vs AC Milan?
Serie A, Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 (UK time). Full time: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan.
Full time: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Genoa to score 1.00 goals and AC Milan 1.46. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | 2.08 |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | 1.93 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.29 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Genoa v AC Milan | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 12.8% | 7.82 |
| 1–1 | 12.2% | 8.18 |
| 0–2 | 9.2% | 10.93 |
| 1–2 | 9.1% | 10.98 |
| 1–0 | 8.8% | 11.38 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa or draw | 55% | 1.82 |
| AC Milan or draw | 71% | 1.40 |
| Genoa or AC Milan (no draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| Genoa, draw no bet | 39% | 2.57 |
| AC Milan, draw no bet | 61% | 1.64 |
League position
Genoa12of 20, 13 points from 10 games
AC Milan5of 20, 21 points from 10 games
In the table, Genoa are in position 12 of 20 with 13 points, and AC Milan in position 5 with 21.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Genoa vs AC Milan played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Genoa
Justin BijlowGLeo ØstigardCDJohan VásquezCD-LAlessandro MarcandalliCD-RHamed TraoréCM-LSamuel WiafeCM-RMikael EllertssonLMKingsley EhizibueRMMilutin OsmajicFVitinhaCF-LJunior MessiasCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
61'
Omari HutchinsonOn for Alphadjo Cissè
62'
Filippo TerraccianoOn for Sankhoun Diawara
62'
Tommaso BaldanziOn for Junior Messias
62'
Stephan El ShaarawyOn for Alessandro Marcandalli
74'
Lorenzo ColomboOn for Vitinha
79'
Ardon JashariOn for Christian Pulisic
84'
Djibril SowOn for Hamed Traoré
84'
Ethan MeichtryOn for Samuel Wiafe
87'
Pervis EstupiñánOn for Yunus Musah
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 17 meetings since 2017
1Genoa
5Draws
11AC Milan
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Genoa vs AC Milan?
AC Milan won 2–1 away at Genoa (Serie A, Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Genoa vs AC Milan?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: AC Milan.
When was Genoa vs AC Milan played?
Serie A, kick-off Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 UK time.
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