Genoa v FiorentinaSerie A · Sat 10 Oct, 14:00
Full time 2-1These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Fiorentina, lost.
Genoa vs Fiorentina: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Genoa vs Fiorentina?
Serie A, Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 (UK time). Full time: Genoa 2-1 Fiorentina.
Full time: Genoa 2-1 Fiorentina. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Genoa to score 1.24 goals and Fiorentina 1.23. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.20 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Genoa v Fiorentina | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.5% | 8.00 |
| 1–0 | 10.8% | 9.25 |
| 0–1 | 10.7% | 9.32 |
| 2–1 | 8.0% | 12.48 |
| 0–0 | 8.0% | 12.48 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa or draw | 62% | 1.60 |
| Fiorentina or draw | 65% | 1.53 |
| Genoa or Fiorentina (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Genoa, draw no bet | 48% | 2.09 |
| Fiorentina, draw no bet | 52% | 1.92 |
League position
Genoa19of 20, 1 point from 5 games
Fiorentina17of 20, 4 points from 5 games
In the table, Genoa are in position 19 of 20 with 1 points, and Fiorentina in position 17 with 4.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Genoa vs Fiorentina played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 17 meetings since 2017
2Genoa
9Draws
6Fiorentina
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Genoa vs Fiorentina?
Genoa won 2–1 against Fiorentina (Serie A, Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 UK time).
When was Genoa vs Fiorentina played?
Serie A, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 UK time.
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