Inter Milan v FiorentinaSerie A · Sun 25 Oct, 11:30
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser65'
Álex JiménezNicolò Fagioli
70'
VieryYellow card
90'+1'
Marcus ThuramAndy Diouf
90'+5'
Víctor ValdepeñasYellow card
90'+7'
Piotr ZielinskiPenalty
90'+11'
DodôYellow card
Full time2–1
Key stats
Who will win Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
Serie A, Sun 25 Oct, 11:30 (UK time). Full time: Inter Milan 2-1 Fiorentina.
Full time: Inter Milan 2-1 Fiorentina. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Inter Milan to score 2.68 goals and Fiorentina 0.85. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.17 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Inter Milan v Fiorentina | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 10.5% | 9.51 |
| 3–0 | 9.4% | 10.65 |
| 2–1 | 9.0% | 11.17 |
| 3–1 | 8.0% | 12.52 |
| 1–0 | 7.9% | 12.61 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan or draw | 89% | 1.12 |
| Fiorentina or draw | 28% | 3.64 |
| Inter Milan or Fiorentina (no draw) | 84% | 1.20 |
| Inter Milan, draw no bet | 87% | 1.15 |
| Fiorentina, draw no bet | 13% | 7.53 |
League position
Inter Milan2of 20, 19 points from 7 games
Fiorentina18of 20, 4 points from 7 games
In the table, Inter Milan are in position 2 of 20 with 19 points, and Fiorentina in position 18 with 4.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Inter Milan vs Fiorentina played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Inter Milan
Ivan ProvedelGManuel AkanjiCDAlessandro BastoniCD-LYann BisseckCD-RHenrikh MkhitaryanCM-LNicolò BarellaCM-RHakan ÇalhanogluAMCarlos AugustoLMAndy DioufRMMarcus ThuramCF-LPio EspositoCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
51'
VieryOn for Marin Pongracic
64'
Ange-Yoan BonnyOn for Pio Esposito
75'
Wilfried GnontoOn for Franco Mastantuono
75'
DodôOn for Álex Jiménez
77'
Federico DimarcoOn for Alessandro Bastoni
78'
Piotr ZielinskiOn for Hakan Çalhanoglu
78'
Petar SucicOn for Henrikh Mkhitaryan
83'
BetoOn for Mateo Pellegrino
83'
João MárioOn for Alieu Njie
85'
Matteo LavelliOn for Nicolò Barella
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
11Inter Milan
6Draws
2Fiorentina
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
Inter Milan won 2–1 against Fiorentina (Serie A, Sun 25 Oct, 11:30 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Inter Milan.
When was Inter Milan vs Fiorentina played?
Serie A, kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 11:30 UK time.
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