Lazio v MonzaSerie A · Sun 11 Oct, 15:00
Full time 3-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Lazio vs Monza: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser3'
Nuno Tavares1–0 · Tijjani Noslin
13'
Andrea CarboniYellow card
23'
Gustav Isaksen2–0 · Tijjani Noslin
35'
Lorenzo LucchesiRed card
45'+2'
Danilho DoekhiYellow card
Half time2–0
46'
Saba Goglichidze2–1 · Dany Mota
55'
Oliver ProvstgaardYellow card
68'
Diogo LeiteYellow card
88'
Andrea Pinamonti3–1 · Alfonso Pedraza
Full time3–1
Key stats
Who will win Lazio vs Monza?
Serie A, Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 (UK time). Full time: Lazio 3-1 Monza.
Full time: Lazio 3-1 Monza. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Lazio to score 1.89 goals and Monza 1.03. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.18 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.00 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Lazio v Monza | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 10.5% | 9.49 |
| 1–1 | 10.2% | 9.78 |
| 2–1 | 9.9% | 10.08 |
| 2–0 | 9.7% | 10.36 |
| 3–1 | 6.2% | 16.05 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio or draw | 79% | 1.26 |
| Monza or draw | 42% | 2.36 |
| Lazio or Monza (no draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| Lazio, draw no bet | 74% | 1.36 |
| Monza, draw no bet | 26% | 3.80 |
League position
Lazio3of 20, 13 points from 5 games
Monza15of 20, 4 points from 5 games
In the table, Lazio are in position 3 of 20 with 13 points, and Monza in position 15 with 4.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Lazio vs Monza played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Lazio
Christos MandasGOliver ProvstgaardCD-LDanilho DoekhiCD-RNuno TavaresLBRomano FlorianiRBReda BelahyaneCMKenneth TaylorLMDavide FrattesiRMTijjani NoslinFMattia ZaccagniLFGustav IsaksenRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
36'
Saba GoglichidzeOn for Cyril Ngonge
45'
Yvan MayeOn for Andrea Carboni
45'
Dany MotaOn for Exequiel Zeballos
45'
Manga Foe OndoaOn for Michael Folorunsho
53'
Diogo LeiteOn for Danilho Doekhi
60'
Fisayo Dele-BashiruOn for Davide Frattesi
60'
Josip SutaloOn for Oliver Provstgaard
70'
Adam BakouneOn for Ricardo Mangas
75'
Alfonso PedrazaOn for Nuno Tavares
75'
Andrea PinamontiOn for Tijjani Noslin
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2022
5Lazio
2Draws
0Monza
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Lazio vs Monza?
Lazio won 3–1 against Monza (Serie A, Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 UK time).
When was Lazio vs Monza played?
Serie A, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
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