Lazio v ParmaSerie A · Sat 24 Oct, 19:45
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Lazio vs Parma: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser30'
Oliver ProvstgaardYellow card
38'
Vincent SierroYellow card
Half time0–0
58'
Diego CarlosOwn goal
90'+5'
Simone LontaniGiovanni Fabbian
Full time2–1
Key stats
Who will win Lazio vs Parma?
Serie A, Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 (UK time). Full time: Lazio 2-1 Parma.
Full time: Lazio 2-1 Parma. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Lazio to score 1.57 goals and Parma 0.77. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | 2.35 |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | 1.74 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.74 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Lazio v Parma | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 15.2% | 6.59 |
| 2–0 | 11.8% | 8.45 |
| 1–1 | 11.5% | 8.70 |
| 0–0 | 9.4% | 10.64 |
| 2–1 | 9.2% | 10.91 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio or draw | 85% | 1.18 |
| Parma or draw | 39% | 2.57 |
| Lazio or Parma (no draw) | 77% | 1.31 |
| Lazio, draw no bet | 80% | 1.25 |
| Parma, draw no bet | 20% | 4.97 |
League position
Lazio2of 20, 19 points from 7 games
Parma19of 20, 4 points from 7 games
In the table, Lazio are in position 2 of 20 with 19 points, and Parma in position 19 with 4.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Lazio vs Parma played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Lazio
Christos MandasGOliver ProvstgaardCD-LJosip SutaloCD-RNuno TavaresLBRomano FlorianiRBReda BelahyaneCMKenneth TaylorLMDavide FrattesiRMTijjani NoslinFMattia ZaccagniLFGustav IsaksenRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Adrián BernabéOn for Vincent Sierro
45'
Diogo LeiteOn for Oliver Provstgaard
63'
Simone LontaniOn for Christian Ordoñez
71'
Fisayo Dele-BashiruOn for Kenneth Taylor
72'
Matija FriganOn for Diego Carlos
77'
Manuel LazzariOn for Gustav Isaksen
77'
Alfonso PedrazaOn for Mattia Zaccagni
78'
Giovanni FabbianOn for José Romero
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 11 meetings since 2018
8Lazio
2Draws
1Parma
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Lazio vs Parma?
Lazio won 2–1 against Parma (Serie A, Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Lazio vs Parma?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Lazio.
When was Lazio vs Parma played?
Serie A, kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 UK time.
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