Lecce v BolognaSerie A · Sun 11 Oct, 14:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Lecce vs Bologna: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser10'
Ivan IlicYellow card
17'
Riccardo Orsolini0–1 · Nicolò Cambiaghi
31'
Francisco Esteban SánchezYellow card
44'
Torbjørn HeggemYellow card
45'+2'
Youssef MalehYellow card
Half time0–1
64'
Amar Ahmed1–1 · Danilo Veiga
75'
Jay Enem1–2 · Nicolò Cambiaghi
90'+4'
Oussama El AzzouziYellow card
Full time1–2
Key stats
Who will win Lecce vs Bologna?
Serie A, Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 (UK time). Full time: Lecce 1-2 Bologna.
Full time: Lecce 1-2 Bologna. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Lecce to score 0.80 goals and Bologna 1.41. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | 2.42 |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | 1.70 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.48 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Lecce v Bologna | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 15.8% | 6.33 |
| 1–1 | 12.0% | 8.31 |
| 0–2 | 10.9% | 9.22 |
| 0–0 | 10.6% | 9.42 |
| 1–0 | 9.2% | 10.89 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lecce or draw | 61% | 1.63 |
| Bologna or draw | 68% | 1.48 |
| Lecce or Bologna (no draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| Lecce, draw no bet | 45% | 2.20 |
| Bologna, draw no bet | 55% | 1.83 |
League position
Lecce12of 20, 6 points from 5 games
Bologna19of 20, 2 points from 5 games
In the table, Lecce are in position 12 of 20 with 6 points, and Bologna in position 19 with 2.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Lecce vs Bologna played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Lecce
Wladimiro FalconeGTiago GabrielCD-LJamil SiebertCD-RAntonino GalloLBDanilo VeigaRBIvan IlicCMYoussef MalehLMLassana CoulibalyRMFrancisco Esteban SánchezFAmar AhmedLFSantiago PierottiRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
36'
Oumar NgomOn for Ivan Ilic
55'
Eivind HellandOn for Torbjørn Heggem
62'
Willem GeubbelsOn for Francisco Esteban Sánchez
62'
Jay EnemOn for Roberto Piccoli
62'
Konan N’DriOn for Santiago Pierotti
62'
Oussama El AzzouziOn for Tommaso Pobega
79'
Joel MonteiroOn for Amar Ahmed
79'
Omri GandelmanOn for Youssef Maleh
81'
Federico BernardeschiOn for Nicolò Cambiaghi
81'
Rahim AlhassaneOn for Juan Miranda
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 11 meetings since 2019
0Lecce
3Draws
8Bologna
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Lecce vs Bologna?
Bologna won 2–1 away at Lecce (Serie A, Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Lecce vs Bologna?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Bologna.
When was Lecce vs Bologna played?
Serie A, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time.
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