Lecce v GenoaSerie A · Sun 1 Nov, 17:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Lecce vs Genoa: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser11'
Milutin Osmajic0–1 · Junior Messias
28'
Junior Messias0–2 · Stephan El Shaarawy
40'
Half time1–2
59'
Mohamed KabaYellow card
62'
Hamed TraoréYellow card
70'
Jamil SiebertYellow card
Full time1–2
Key stats
Who will win Lecce vs Genoa?
Serie A, Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 (UK time). Full time: Lecce 1-2 Genoa.
Full time: Lecce 1-2 Genoa. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Lecce to score 1.10 goals and Genoa 1.12. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | 2.23 |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | 1.81 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.60 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.39 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Lecce v Genoa | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.1% | 7.66 |
| 0–1 | 12.5% | 8.03 |
| 1–0 | 12.2% | 8.19 |
| 0–0 | 10.5% | 9.53 |
| 1–2 | 7.5% | 13.30 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lecce or draw | 64% | 1.57 |
| Genoa or draw | 66% | 1.51 |
| Lecce or Genoa (no draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| Lecce, draw no bet | 48% | 2.08 |
| Genoa, draw no bet | 52% | 1.93 |
League position
Lecce14of 20, 9 points from 9 games
Genoa13of 20, 10 points from 9 games
In the table, Lecce are in position 14 of 20 with 9 points, and Genoa in position 13 with 10.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Lecce vs Genoa played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Lecce
Wladimiro FalconeGTiago GabrielCD-LJamil SiebertCD-RAntonino GalloLBDanilo VeigaRBOumar NgomCMYoussef MalehLMOlaf GorterRMNikola StulicFJoel MonteiroLFKonan N’DriRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
56'
Mohamed KabaOn for Olaf Gorter
59'
Amar AhmedOn for Joel Monteiro
60'
Kingsley EhizibueOn for Samuel Wiafe
60'
VitinhaOn for Stephan El Shaarawy
75'
Omri GandelmanOn for Youssef Maleh
75'
Ali DembéléOn for Nikola Stulic
75'
Francisco Esteban SánchezOn for Konan N’Dri
80'
Djibril SowOn for Hamed Traoré
86'
Lorenzo ColomboOn for Milutin Osmajic
86'
Ethan MeichtryOn for Junior Messias
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2019
2Lecce
3Draws
4Genoa
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Lecce vs Genoa?
Genoa won 2–1 away at Lecce (Serie A, Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Lecce vs Genoa?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Genoa.
When was Lecce vs Genoa played?
Serie A, kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 UK time.
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