These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Cagliari, lost.
Monza vs Cagliari: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Monza vs Cagliari?
Serie A, Mon 19 Oct, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: Monza 4-0 Cagliari.
Full time: Monza 4-0 Cagliari. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Monza to score 1.31 goals and Cagliari 1.43. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.39 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Monza v Cagliari | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.9% | 8.38 |
| 0–1 | 9.4% | 10.66 |
| 1–2 | 8.7% | 11.56 |
| 1–0 | 8.6% | 11.61 |
| 2–1 | 7.9% | 12.61 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monza or draw | 61% | 1.64 |
| Cagliari or draw | 65% | 1.53 |
| Monza or Cagliari (no draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| Monza, draw no bet | 47% | 2.13 |
| Cagliari, draw no bet | 53% | 1.88 |
League position
In the table, Monza are in position 15 of 20 with 4 points, and Cagliari in position 7 with 13.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet. Read our written preview: Monza v Cagliari prediction and odds.
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How Monza vs Cagliari played out
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Common questions
Who won Monza vs Cagliari?
Monza won 4–0 against Cagliari (Serie A, Mon 19 Oct, 17:30 UK time).
When was Monza vs Cagliari played?
Serie A, kick-off Mon 19 Oct, 17:30 UK time.