Monza v NapoliSerie A · Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Monza vs Napoli: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser8'
Saba GoglichidzeYellow card
10'
Rasmus Højlund0–1 · Giovanni Di Lorenzo
43'
Gustavo Varela1–1 · Jay Robinson
Half time1–1
48'
52'
Manga Foe OndoaYellow card
62'
Rafa Marín1–3 · Matteo Politano
67'
Kevin De Bruyne1–4 · Noa Lang
88'
Leonardo ColomboYellow card
Full time1–4
Key stats
Who will win Monza vs Napoli?
Serie A, Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 (UK time). Full time: Monza 1-4 Napoli.
Full time: Monza 1-4 Napoli. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Monza to score 0.99 goals and Napoli 2.13. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Monza v Napoli | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 10.0% | 9.98 |
| 1–2 | 9.9% | 10.09 |
| 0–1 | 9.6% | 10.41 |
| 1–1 | 9.1% | 11.01 |
| 0–3 | 7.1% | 14.04 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monza or draw | 50% | 1.99 |
| Napoli or draw | 74% | 1.35 |
| Monza or Napoli (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Monza, draw no bet | 34% | 2.94 |
| Napoli, draw no bet | 66% | 1.52 |
League position
Monza15of 20, 7 points from 8 games
Napoli10of 20, 11 points from 8 games
In the table, Monza are in position 15 of 20 with 7 points, and Napoli in position 10 with 11.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Monza vs Napoli played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Monza
Noel TörnqvistGSaba GoglichidzeCDLorenzo LucchesiCD-LSamuele BirindelliCD-RLeonardo ColomboCM-LManga Foe OndoaCM-RRicardo MangasLMAdam BakouneRMGustavo VarelaFJay RobinsonCF-LCyril NgongeCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
17'
Billy GilmourOn for Stanislav Lobotka
45'
Andrea CarboniOn for Saba Goglichidze
45'
Luca MarianucciOn for Amir Rrahmani
60'
Andrea ColpaniOn for Cyril Ngonge
60'
Ebenezer AkinsanmiroOn for Manga Foe Ondoa
63'
Kevin De BruyneOn for Frank Anguissa
63'
Antonio VergaraOn for Matteo Politano
69'
Exequiel ZeballosOn for Jay Robinson
74'
Valentin AntovOn for Lorenzo Lucchesi
81'
Lorenzo LuccaOn for Rasmus Højlund
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2022
1Monza
1Draws
5Napoli
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Napoli vs Torino
Sat 21 Nov, 19:45. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Monza vs Napoli?
Napoli won 4–1 away at Monza (Serie A, Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Monza vs Napoli?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Napoli.
When was Monza vs Napoli played?
Serie A, kick-off Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 UK time.
More matches
Serie A19:45NapoliTorino11.45X4.5026.00Serie A19:45MonzaFiorentina13.35X3.6521.99Serie AFull timeAC Milan2Bologna4
Serie AFull timeGenoa2Juventus0
Serie AFull timeParma0Udinese0
Serie AFull timeVenezia0Inter Milan2
Women's Champions League17:45Leuven WomenHB Køge Women14.60X3.9321.58England EFL Trophy19:00BarnsleyOldham Athletic11.69X4.4023.70
