Parma v BolognaSerie A · Sat 7 Nov, 17:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Parma vs Bologna: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser9'
Abdoulaye NdiayeRed card
14'
José RomeroYellow card
20'
Nicoló CasaleYellow card
42'
Mariano TroiloYellow card
Half time0–0
53'
Arthur TheateNicolò Cambiaghi
72'
Enrico Del PratoYellow card
72'
Riccardo OrsoliniPenalty
80'
Martin VitíkYellow card
81'
Vincent SierroPenalty
Full time1–2
Key stats
Who will win Parma vs Bologna?
Serie A, Sat 7 Nov, 17:00 (UK time). Full time: Parma 1-2 Bologna.
Full time: Parma 1-2 Bologna. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Parma to score 0.83 goals and Bologna 1.33. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | 2.43 |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | 1.70 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.80 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Parma v Bologna | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 15.6% | 6.41 |
| 1–1 | 12.5% | 8.01 |
| 0–0 | 11.3% | 8.84 |
| 0–2 | 10.2% | 9.83 |
| 1–0 | 9.9% | 10.13 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Parma or draw | 50% | 2.01 |
| Bologna or draw | 78% | 1.28 |
| Parma or Bologna (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Parma, draw no bet | 30% | 3.30 |
| Bologna, draw no bet | 70% | 1.43 |
League position
Parma15of 20, 8 points from 10 games
Bologna10of 20, 14 points from 10 games
In the table, Parma are in position 15 of 20 with 8 points, and Bologna in position 10 with 14.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Parma vs Bologna played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Parma
Giovanni DaffaraGMariano TroiloCDAbdoulaye NdiayeCD-LEnrico Del PratoCD-RMandela KeitaCM-LGiovanni FabbianCM-RVincent SierroAMEmanuele ValeriLMBenjamin CremaschiRMSimone LontaniCF-LJosé RomeroCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
22'
El Bilal ToureOn for José Romero
26'
Samuel MbangulaOn for Juan Miranda
45'
Sascha BritschgiOn for Benjamin Cremaschi
45'
Nesta ElphegeOn for Simone Lontani
45'
Riccardo OrsoliniOn for Nadir Zortea
59'
Eivind HellandOn for Nicoló Casale
59'
Roberto PiccoliOn for Jens Odgaard
75'
Martin VitíkOn for Nicolò Cambiaghi
82'
Pontus AlmqvistOn for Giovanni Fabbian
82'
Christian OrdoñezOn for Vincent Sierro
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 11 meetings since 2018
2Parma
4Draws
5Bologna
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Parma vs Bologna?
Bologna won 2–1 away at Parma (Serie A, Sat 7 Nov, 17:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Parma vs Bologna?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Bologna.
When was Parma vs Bologna played?
Serie A, kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00 UK time.
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