Sassuolo v AC MilanSerie A · Sun 11 Oct, 18:00
Full time 1-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser41'
Pervis EstupiñánYellow card
45'+3'
Koni De WinterYellow card
Half time0–0
63'
Adrien Rabiot0–1 · Luka Modric
68'
Cas Odenthal1–1
87'
Gonçalo RamosYellow card
90'+1'
Strahinja PavlovicYellow card
90'+4'
Kristian ThorstvedtYellow card
Full time1–1
Key stats
Who will win Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
Serie A, Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 (UK time). Full time: Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan.
Full time: Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Sassuolo to score 1.24 goals and AC Milan 1.58. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.15 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.20 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Sassuolo v AC Milan | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.3% | 8.82 |
| 0–1 | 9.8% | 10.25 |
| 1–2 | 9.2% | 10.85 |
| 1–0 | 7.7% | 12.92 |
| 0–2 | 7.4% | 13.46 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo or draw | 54% | 1.84 |
| AC Milan or draw | 70% | 1.44 |
| Sassuolo or AC Milan (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Sassuolo, draw no bet | 40% | 2.50 |
| AC Milan, draw no bet | 60% | 1.67 |
League position
Sassuolo10of 20, 7 points from 5 games
AC Milan5of 20, 11 points from 5 games
In the table, Sassuolo are in position 10 of 20 with 7 points, and AC Milan in position 5 with 11.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Sassuolo vs AC Milan played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Sassuolo
Arijanet MuricGFedde LeysenCD-LDuje Caleta-CarCD-RJosh DoigLBIgnace van der BremptRBNemanja MaticCMDarryl BakolaLMVasilije AdzicRMSebastiano EspositoFArmand LaurientéLFDomenico BerardiRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
20'
Koni De WinterOn for Matteo Gabbia
26'
Cas OdenthalOn for Fedde Leysen
45'
Luka ModricOn for Pervis Estupiñán
60'
Kieron BowieOn for Sebastiano Esposito
60'
Kristian ThorstvedtOn for Vasilije Adzic
78'
Ardon JashariOn for Yunus Musah
78'
Alphadjo CissèOn for Christian Pulisic
79'
Simone CinquegranoOn for Ignace van der Brempt
79'
Luca LipaniOn for Nemanja Matic
85'
Omari HutchinsonOn for Samuel Chukwueze
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 17 meetings since 2017
4Sassuolo
6Draws
7AC Milan
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
Nobody: Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1–1 (Serie A, Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 UK time).
When was Sassuolo vs AC Milan played?
Serie A, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 UK time.
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