Venezia vs Fiorentina: result and prediction

Serie AFriday 11 Sept 2026

Venezia

Full timeHalf time 1–2

Fiorentina

Key stats

10Shots19

3Shots on target10

2Corners4

11Fouls6

2Yellow cards1

Who will win Venezia vs Fiorentina?

Serie A, Fri 11 Sept, 20:45 (UK time). Full time: Venezia 2-4 Fiorentina.

Venezia v FiorentinaSerie A · Fri 11 Sept, 20:45

Full time 2-4

29%Venezia

25%Draw

46%Fiorentina

fair 3.39fair 4.03fair 2.19

These were our chances before kick-off.

Our modelfrom the assessment run on this fixture

Full time: Venezia 2-4 Fiorentina. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

Our model expects Venezia to score 1.16 goals and Fiorentina 1.51. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.

Bet	Our chance	Fair odds
Both teams to score: yes	53%	1.88
Both teams to score: no	47%	2.14
Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.35
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.00
Under 2.5 goals	50%	2.00
Over 3.5 goals	28%	3.58

Correct score prediction

The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.

Venezia v Fiorentina	Our chance	Fair odds
1–1	11.8%	8.49
0–1	10.8%	9.26
1–2	9.2%	10.91
1–0	8.4%	11.96
0–2	7.9%	12.66

Double chance and draw no bet

What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.

Bet	Our chance	Fair odds
Venezia or draw	54%	1.84
Fiorentina or draw	71%	1.42
Venezia or Fiorentina (no draw)	75%	1.33
Venezia, draw no bet	39%	2.55
Fiorentina, draw no bet	61%	1.64

League position

Venezia18of 20, 0 points from 3 games

Fiorentina20of 20, 0 points from 3 games

In the table, Venezia are in position 18 of 20 with 0 points, and Fiorentina in position 20 with 0.

What the full research adds

Win, draw and loss chances

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

The five likeliest scores

The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers

The edge in points, and every source the research read

The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.

18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.