Venezia v NapoliSerie A · Sat 17 Oct, 14:00
Full time 1-0These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Napoli, lost.
Venezia vs Napoli: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser49'
Akor Adams1–0 · Simon Sohm
61'
Toma BasicYellow card
68'
Kevin De Bruyne1–0 · Penalty - Saved
80'
Enrique PerezYellow card
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Venezia vs Napoli?
Serie A, Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 (UK time). Full time: Venezia 1-0 Napoli.
Full time: Venezia 1-0 Napoli. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Venezia to score 0.75 goals and Napoli 2.19. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | 2.13 |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.95 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Venezia v Napoli | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 12.7% | 7.89 |
| 0–1 | 11.6% | 8.64 |
| 1–2 | 9.5% | 10.52 |
| 0–3 | 9.2% | 10.82 |
| 1–1 | 8.7% | 11.47 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia or draw | 39% | 2.59 |
| Napoli or draw | 83% | 1.21 |
| Venezia or Napoli (no draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| Venezia, draw no bet | 22% | 4.56 |
| Napoli, draw no bet | 78% | 1.28 |
League position
Venezia20of 20, 0 points from 6 games
Napoli9of 20, 10 points from 6 games
In the table, Venezia are in position 20 of 20 with 0 points, and Napoli in position 9 with 10.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Venezia vs Napoli played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Venezia
Filip StankovicGMatías MorenoCDJuan JesusCD-LRedouane HalhalCD-RToma BasicCM-LEnrique PerezCM-RSimon SohmAMRidgeciano HapsLMAntoine HainautRMAkor AdamsCF-LJohn YeboahCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
54'
Rasmus HøjlundOn for Lorenzo Lucca
54'
Alisson SantosOn for Giovane
54'
Kevin De BruyneOn for Billy Gilmour
63'
Albion RrahmaniOn for John Yeboah
63'
Matteo PolitanoOn for Sam Beukema
71'
Thorir Johann HelgasonOn for Toma Basic
71'
Pasquale MazzocchiOn for Ridgeciano Haps
72'
Joel SchingtienneOn for Matías Moreno
82'
Lamine DaboOn for Simon Sohm
82'
Mathías OliveraOn for Leonardo Spinazzola
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 5 meetings since 2021
1Venezia
1Draws
3Napoli
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Venezia vs Napoli?
Venezia won 1–0 against Napoli (Serie A, Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 UK time).
When was Venezia vs Napoli played?
Serie A, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 UK time.
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